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Bundesliga
Referee: Christian Dingert
Hoffenheim
U S T U T
0–2
Full-time
Darmstadt
S T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hoffenheim Darmstadt
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,5
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,8
This season — Bundesliga · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 19%
11%
26%
Points per game
0,7
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
42%
47%
Both score Ø 53%
58%
47%
Average goals
2,4
2,5
Scored
0,9
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

68% Possession 32%
12 Shots 11
1 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
8 Corners 7
2 Offside 1
0 Free kicks against 0
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hoffenheim 17. · Darmstadt 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 20 17 2 1 +41 53
2 Dortmund 20 14 3 3 +28 45
3 Hertha 20 10 5 5 +8 35
4 Schalke 04 20 10 3 7 +3 33
5 Leverkusen 20 9 5 6 +8 32
6 M'gladbach 20 10 2 8 +5 32
7 Mainz 20 9 3 8 +1 30
8 Wolfsburg 20 7 6 7 +1 27
9 FC Koln 20 6 8 6 -5 26
10 FC Ingolstadt 04 20 7 5 8 -7 26
11 Stuttgart 20 7 3 10 -10 24
12 Hamburg 20 6 5 9 -6 23
13 Augsburg 20 5 6 9 -6 21
14 Ein Frankfurt 20 5 6 9 -8 21
15 Darmstadt 19 5 6 8 -10 21
16 Werder Bremen 20 5 4 11 -17 19
17 Hoffenheim 19 2 8 9 -10 14
18 Hannover 20 4 2 14 -16 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hoffenheim Darmstadt
18′
🔁 T. Kempe
↦ K. Rausch
33′
A. Sulu 0–1
S. Rajković
Half-time 0–1
S. Zuber 🔁
↦ E. Bičakčić
54′
N. Amiri 🔁
↦ J. Hamad
54′
K. Kuranyi 🔁
↦ J. Schmid
72′
Nadiem Amiri 🟨
73′
73′
🟨 Marcel Heller
81′
🟨 Peter Niemeyer
83′
🟨 Slobodan Rajković
84′
🔁 M. Vrančić
↦ J. Rosenthal
85′
S. Rajković 0–2
S. Wagner
94′
🔁 F. Platte
↦ S. Wagner
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Hoffenheim

1 O. Baumann G
12 T. Strobl M
4 E. Bičakčić D
3 P. Kaderábek M
15 J. Toljan D
25 N. Süle D
11 J. Hamad M
6 S. Rudy M
10 J. Schmid M
27 A. Kramarić F
31 K. Volland F
Bench (7)
17 S. Zuber
18 N. Amiri
22 K. Kuranyi
5 F. Schär
9 E. Vargas
13 J. Grahl
20 Jin-Su Kim

Darmstadt

31 C. Mathenia G
35 S. Rajković D
34 K. Rausch D
4 A. Sulu D
33 L. Caldirola D
10 J. Rosenthal M
18 P. Niemeyer D
20 M. Heller M
23 F. Jungwirth D
8 J. Gondorf M
14 S. Wagner F
Bench (7)
11 T. Kempe
6 M. Vrančić
19 F. Platte
9 D. Stroh-Engel
15 J. Díaz
17 S. Sirigu
40 L. Zaluska

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Christian Dingert · 74 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,6 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.