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Eredivisie

Referee: Allard Lindhout

De Graafschap

T S T S T

1–1

Full-time

Nijmegen

S S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

De Graafschap Nijmegen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

3,5

2,3

Scored

1,7

1,2

Conceded

1,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,0

This season — Eredivisie · 21/21 matches

Win Ø 31%

14%

48%

Points per game

0,5

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

71%

38%

Both score Ø 48%

62%

33%

Average goals

3,3

2,3

Scored

1,1

1,2

Conceded

2,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,1

+0,2

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

34% Possession 66%

12 Shots 31

4 Shots on target 9

2 Blocked shots 6

8 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 5

0 Offside 2

0 Free kicks against 0

0 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match De Graafschap 18. · Nijmegen 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	22	16	4	2	+37	52
2	PSV Eindhoven	21	15	5	1	+31	50
3	Feyenoord	22	11	3	8	+11	36
4	Heracles	20	10	5	5	+6	35
5	AZ Alkmaar	22	10	4	8	+4	34
6	Nijmegen	21	10	4	7	+4	34
7	Vitesse	22	9	6	7	+18	33
8	Groningen	20	8	7	5	-1	31
9	Zwolle	20	8	5	7	+3	29
10	Heerenveen	22	8	5	9	-8	29
11	Den Haag	22	6	9	7	-1	27
12	Roda	22	5	9	8	-15	24
13	Utrecht	18	6	5	7	+0	23
14	Twente	22	6	4	12	-19	22
15	Willem II	22	4	9	9	-4	21
16	Excelsior	22	4	7	11	-16	19
17	Cambuur	21	2	7	12	-27	13
18	De Graafschap	21	3	2	16	-23	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	11	9	1	1	+24	28
2	PSV Eindhoven	10	8	2	0	+15	26
3	Nijmegen	12	8	2	2	+9	26
4	Heracles	10	7	2	1	+10	23
5	Feyenoord	11	7	1	3	+11	22
6	Groningen	10	6	3	1	+7	21
7	Vitesse	11	6	2	3	+14	20
8	AZ Alkmaar	12	6	2	4	+4	20
9	Heerenveen	11	5	3	3	+1	18
10	Zwolle	10	5	2	3	+1	17
11	Twente	10	5	1	4	-1	16
12	Utrecht	7	4	3	0	+6	15
13	Roda	12	3	6	3	-3	15
14	Willem II	11	3	5	3	+3	14
15	Den Haag	11	2	7	2	+0	13
16	Excelsior	11	2	3	6	-9	9
17	De Graafschap	10	2	1	7	-8	7
18	Cambuur	11	1	4	6	-15	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	11	7	3	1	+16	24
2	Ajax	11	7	3	1	+13	24
3	Feyenoord	11	4	2	5	+0	14
4	AZ Alkmaar	10	4	2	4	+0	14
5	Den Haag	11	4	2	5	-1	14
6	Vitesse	11	3	4	4	+4	13
7	Zwolle	10	3	3	4	+2	12
8	Heracles	10	3	3	4	-4	12
9	Heerenveen	11	3	2	6	-9	11
10	Excelsior	11	2	4	5	-7	10
11	Groningen	10	2	4	4	-8	10
12	Roda	10	2	3	5	-12	9
13	Nijmegen	9	2	2	5	-5	8
14	Utrecht	11	2	2	7	-6	8
15	Willem II	11	1	4	6	-7	7
16	Cambuur	10	1	3	6	-12	6
17	Twente	12	1	3	8	-18	6
18	De Graafschap	11	1	1	9	-15	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.