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Bundesliga
Referee: Robert Kampka
M'gladbach
T U T S T
1–2
Full-time
Wolfsburg
T U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

M'gladbach Wolfsburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
0,7
1,2
Conceded
1,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-0,5
This season — Bundesliga · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 24%
27%
20%
Points per game
1,1
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
47%
47%
Both score Ø 44%
47%
40%
Average goals
2,5
2,4
Scored
0,9
0,9
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

60% Possession 40%
20 Shots 18
4 Shots on target 7
6 Blocked shots 6
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 6
18 Free kicks against 18
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match M'gladbach 13. · Wolfsburg 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 15 11 3 1 +26 36
2 RB Leipzig 15 11 3 1 +19 36
3 Hoffenheim 15 6 9 0 +11 27
4 Hertha 15 8 3 4 +6 27
5 Dortmund 15 7 5 3 +16 26
6 Ein Frankfurt 15 7 5 3 +7 26
7 FC Koln 15 6 6 3 +6 24
8 Mainz 15 6 2 7 -1 20
9 Leverkusen 15 6 2 7 -1 20
10 Freiburg 15 6 2 7 -7 20
11 Schalke 04 15 5 3 7 +2 18
12 Augsburg 15 4 5 6 -4 17
13 M'gladbach 15 4 4 7 -9 16
14 Werder Bremen 15 4 3 8 -14 15
15 Wolfsburg 15 3 4 8 -10 13
16 FC Ingolstadt 04 15 3 3 9 -12 12
17 Hamburg 15 2 4 9 -18 10
18 Darmstadt 15 2 2 11 -17 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

M'gladbach Wolfsburg
3′
D. Caligiuri 0–1
M. Arnold
12′
🟨 Maximilian Arnold
Lars Stindl 🟨
23′
33′
🟨 Jeffrey Bruma
Half-time 1–1
1–1 T. Hazard
52′
57′
M. Gómez 1–2
J. Draxler
A. Hahn 🔁
↦ L. Stindl
72′
J. Drmic 🔁
↦ N. Elvedi
82′
83′
🔁 J. Błaszczykowski
↦ P. Seguin
87′
🔁 Borja Mayoral
↦ M. Gómez
93′
🔁 R. Knoche
↦ J. Draxler
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

M'gladbach

3-4-1-2
1 Y. Sommer G
17 O. Wendt D
5 T. Strobl M
4 J. Vestergaard D
3 A. Christensen D
30 N. Elvedi D
13 L. Stindl F
27 J. Korb M
10 T. Hazard M
8 M. Dahoud M
11 Raffael F
Bench (7)
28 A. Hahn
9 J. Drmic
14 N. Schulz
20 D. Sow
21 T. Sippel
22 L. Bénes
23 J. Hofmann

Coach: A. Schubert

Wolfsburg

3-1-4-2
1 D. Benaglio
5 J. Bruma D
21 J. Horn D
22 Luiz Gustavo M
7 D. Caligiuri M
23 J. Guilavogui M
27 M. Arnold M
10 J. Draxler M
30 P. Seguin D
13 Y. Gerhardt M
33 M. Gómez F
Bench (7)
14 J. Błaszczykowski
17 Borja Mayoral
31 R. Knoche
34 R. Rodríguez
8 Vieirinha
15 C. Träsch
28 K. Casteels

Coach: V. Ismaël

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Robert Kampka · 33 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
30,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,03 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.