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Bundesliga

Referee: Robert Hartmann

M'gladbach

U T T U T

1–0

Full-time

Mainz

S T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

M'gladbach Mainz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,5

3,7

Scored

0,5

1,5

Conceded

2,0

2,2

Goal diff per game

-1,5

-0,7

This season — Bundesliga · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 31%

23%

38%

Points per game

1,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 70%

54%

85%

Both score Ø 66%

54%

77%

Average goals

2,7

3,7

Scored

1,0

1,8

Conceded

1,7

1,9

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

56% Possession 44%

9 Shots 12

3 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 1

1 Offside 3

13 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match M'gladbach 14. · Mainz 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	14	10	3	1	+25	33
2	RB Leipzig	14	10	3	1	+17	33
3	Hertha	14	8	3	3	+8	27
4	Hoffenheim	14	6	8	0	+11	26
5	Ein Frankfurt	14	7	5	2	+8	26
6	Dortmund	14	7	4	3	+16	25
7	FC Koln	14	6	5	3	+6	23
8	Freiburg	14	6	1	7	-7	19
9	Schalke 04	13	5	2	6	+3	17
10	Leverkusen	13	5	2	6	-1	17
11	Mainz	13	5	2	6	-2	17
12	Augsburg	14	3	5	6	-5	14
13	Werder Bremen	14	4	2	8	-14	14
14	M'gladbach	13	3	4	6	-9	13
15	Wolfsburg	14	2	4	8	-11	10
16	Hamburg	14	2	4	8	-16	10
17	FC Ingolstadt 04	14	2	3	9	-13	9
18	Darmstadt	14	2	2	10	-16	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	8	6	2	0	+19	20
2	Hertha	7	6	0	1	+9	18
3	Dortmund	7	5	2	0	+13	17
4	RB Leipzig	6	5	1	0	+7	16
5	FC Koln	7	4	3	0	+9	15
6	Hoffenheim	7	4	3	0	+7	15
7	Ein Frankfurt	7	4	3	0	+4	15
8	Freiburg	7	5	0	2	+0	15
9	Schalke 04	6	4	0	2	+7	12
10	M'gladbach	7	3	3	1	+5	12
11	Leverkusen	7	3	2	2	+1	11
12	Mainz	6	3	1	2	+2	10
13	Werder Bremen	7	3	0	4	-2	9
14	Darmstadt	7	2	2	3	-2	8
15	Augsburg	7	1	3	3	-5	6
16	FC Ingolstadt 04	7	1	2	4	-6	5
17	Hamburg	7	1	2	4	-10	5
18	Wolfsburg	7	0	2	5	-8	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	RB Leipzig	8	5	2	1	+10	17
2	Bayern Munich	6	4	1	1	+6	13
3	Hoffenheim	7	2	5	0	+4	11
4	Ein Frankfurt	7	3	2	2	+4	11
5	Hertha	7	2	3	2	-1	9
6	Dortmund	7	2	2	3	+3	8
7	Augsburg	7	2	2	3	+0	8
8	Wolfsburg	7	2	2	3	-3	8
9	FC Koln	7	2	2	3	-3	8
10	Mainz	7	2	1	4	-4	7
11	Leverkusen	6	2	0	4	-2	6
12	Schalke 04	7	1	2	4	-4	5
13	Hamburg	7	1	2	4	-6	5
14	Werder Bremen	7	1	2	4	-12	5
15	Freiburg	7	1	1	5	-7	4
16	FC Ingolstadt 04	7	1	1	5	-7	4
17	M'gladbach	6	0	1	5	-14	1
18	Darmstadt	7	0	0	7	-14	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.