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Bundesliga

Referee: Jochen Drees

Hamburg

U U S S T

2–1

Full-time

Schalke 04

S S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hamburg Schalke 04

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,7

2,5

Scored

1,7

1,5

Conceded

2,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,5

This season — Bundesliga · 15/15 matches

Win Ø 23%

13%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

53%

47%

Both score Ø 44%

40%

47%

Average goals

2,8

2,4

Scored

0,8

1,3

Conceded

2,0

1,1

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

44% Possession 56%

11 Shots 6

7 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

4 Corners 5

3 Offside 6

13 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hamburg 17. · Schalke 04 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	15	11	3	1	+26	36
2	RB Leipzig	15	11	3	1	+19	36
3	Hoffenheim	15	6	9	0	+11	27
4	Hertha	15	8	3	4	+6	27
5	Dortmund	15	7	5	3	+16	26
6	Ein Frankfurt	15	7	5	3	+7	26
7	FC Koln	15	6	6	3	+6	24
8	Mainz	15	6	2	7	-1	20
9	Leverkusen	15	6	2	7	-1	20
10	Freiburg	15	6	2	7	-7	20
11	Schalke 04	15	5	3	7	+2	18
12	Augsburg	15	4	5	6	-4	17
13	M'gladbach	15	4	4	7	-9	16
14	Werder Bremen	15	4	3	8	-14	15
15	Wolfsburg	15	3	4	8	-10	13
16	FC Ingolstadt 04	15	3	3	9	-12	12
17	Hamburg	15	2	4	9	-18	10
18	Darmstadt	15	2	2	11	-17	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	8	6	2	0	+19	20
2	RB Leipzig	7	6	1	0	+9	19
3	Hertha	7	6	0	1	+9	18
4	Dortmund	7	5	2	0	+13	17
5	Hoffenheim	8	4	4	0	+7	16
6	FC Koln	7	4	3	0	+9	15
7	M'gladbach	8	4	3	1	+6	15
8	Ein Frankfurt	7	4	3	0	+4	15
9	Freiburg	7	5	0	2	+0	15
10	Schalke 04	8	4	1	3	+6	13
11	Mainz	7	4	1	2	+4	13
12	Leverkusen	8	3	2	3	+0	11
13	Werder Bremen	8	3	1	4	-2	10
14	Augsburg	8	2	3	3	-4	9
15	Darmstadt	8	2	2	4	-3	8
16	FC Ingolstadt 04	7	1	2	4	-6	5
17	Wolfsburg	8	1	2	5	-7	5
18	Hamburg	7	1	2	4	-10	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	RB Leipzig	8	5	2	1	+10	17
2	Bayern Munich	7	5	1	1	+7	16
3	Hoffenheim	7	2	5	0	+4	11
4	Ein Frankfurt	8	3	2	3	+3	11
5	Dortmund	8	2	3	3	+3	9
6	Leverkusen	7	3	0	4	-1	9
7	Hertha	8	2	3	3	-3	9
8	FC Koln	8	2	3	3	-3	9
9	Augsburg	7	2	2	3	+0	8
10	Wolfsburg	7	2	2	3	-3	8
11	Mainz	8	2	1	5	-5	7
12	FC Ingolstadt 04	8	2	1	5	-6	7
13	Schalke 04	7	1	2	4	-4	5
14	Freiburg	8	1	2	5	-7	5
15	Hamburg	8	1	2	5	-8	5
16	Werder Bremen	7	1	2	4	-12	5
17	M'gladbach	7	0	1	6	-15	1
18	Darmstadt	7	0	0	7	-14	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.