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Bundesliga

Referee: Sascha Stegemann

FC Ingolstadt 04

S U T S S

1–2

Full-time

Freiburg

T T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Ingolstadt 04 Freiburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,0

3,2

Scored

1,0

Conceded

1,0

2,2

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-1,2

This season — Bundesliga · 15/15 matches

Win Ø 30%

20%

40%

Points per game

0,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

40%

67%

Both score Ø 60%

53%

67%

Average goals

2,5

3,0

Scored

0,9

1,3

Conceded

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

53% Possession 47%

17 Shots 11

6 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

6 Corners 3

2 Offside 2

17 Free kicks against 12

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match FC Ingolstadt 04 17. · Freiburg 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	15	11	3	1	+26	36
2	RB Leipzig	15	11	3	1	+19	36
3	Ein Frankfurt	16	8	5	3	+10	29
4	Dortmund	16	7	6	3	+16	27
5	Hoffenheim	15	6	9	0	+11	27
6	Hertha	15	8	3	4	+6	27
7	FC Koln	15	6	6	3	+6	24
8	Leverkusen	15	6	2	7	-1	20
9	Mainz	16	6	2	8	-4	20
10	Freiburg	15	6	2	7	-7	20
11	Schalke 04	16	5	3	8	+1	18
12	Augsburg	16	4	6	6	-4	18
13	Wolfsburg	16	4	4	8	-9	16
14	M'gladbach	16	4	4	8	-10	16
15	Werder Bremen	15	4	3	8	-14	15
16	Hamburg	16	3	4	9	-17	13
17	FC Ingolstadt 04	15	3	3	9	-12	12
18	Darmstadt	15	2	2	11	-17	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	8	6	2	0	+19	20
2	RB Leipzig	7	6	1	0	+9	19
3	Dortmund	8	5	3	0	+13	18
4	Hertha	7	6	0	1	+9	18
5	Ein Frankfurt	8	5	3	0	+7	18
6	Hoffenheim	8	4	4	0	+7	16
7	FC Koln	7	4	3	0	+9	15
8	M'gladbach	9	4	3	2	+5	15
9	Freiburg	7	5	0	2	+0	15
10	Schalke 04	8	4	1	3	+6	13
11	Mainz	7	4	1	2	+4	13
12	Leverkusen	8	3	2	3	+0	11
13	Werder Bremen	8	3	1	4	-2	10
14	Augsburg	8	2	3	3	-4	9
15	Darmstadt	8	2	2	4	-3	8
16	Hamburg	8	2	2	4	-9	8
17	FC Ingolstadt 04	7	1	2	4	-6	5
18	Wolfsburg	8	1	2	5	-7	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	RB Leipzig	8	5	2	1	+10	17
2	Bayern Munich	7	5	1	1	+7	16
3	Hoffenheim	7	2	5	0	+4	11
4	Ein Frankfurt	8	3	2	3	+3	11
5	Wolfsburg	8	3	2	3	-2	11
6	Dortmund	8	2	3	3	+3	9
7	Augsburg	8	2	3	3	+0	9
8	Leverkusen	7	3	0	4	-1	9
9	Hertha	8	2	3	3	-3	9
10	FC Koln	8	2	3	3	-3	9
11	FC Ingolstadt 04	8	2	1	5	-6	7
12	Mainz	9	2	1	6	-8	7
13	Schalke 04	8	1	2	5	-5	5
14	Freiburg	8	1	2	5	-7	5
15	Hamburg	8	1	2	5	-8	5
16	Werder Bremen	7	1	2	4	-12	5
17	M'gladbach	7	0	1	6	-15	1
18	Darmstadt	7	0	0	7	-14	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.