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Bundesliga
Referee: Christian Dingert
Darmstadt
U T S T T
0–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Darmstadt FC Ingolstadt 04
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,7
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,2
3,0
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
1,8
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,3
This season — Bundesliga · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 10%
20%
0%
Points per game
0,8
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
50%
40%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,8
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
2,0
2,1
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-1,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

42% Possession 58%
18 Shots 15
4 Shots on target 7
7 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 11
19 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Darmstadt 15. · FC Ingolstadt 04 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 RB Leipzig 11 8 3 0 +14 27
2 Bayern Munich 10 7 3 0 +18 24
3 Hoffenheim 10 5 5 0 +7 20
4 Hertha 10 6 2 2 +7 20
5 Dortmund 10 5 3 2 +13 18
6 FC Koln 10 5 3 2 +9 18
7 Ein Frankfurt 10 5 3 2 +6 18
8 Leverkusen 11 5 1 5 +0 16
9 Freiburg 10 5 0 5 -3 15
10 Mainz 10 4 2 4 -1 14
11 M'gladbach 10 3 3 4 -5 12
12 Schalke 04 10 3 2 5 +1 11
13 Augsburg 10 3 2 5 -4 11
14 Wolfsburg 10 2 3 5 -4 9
15 Darmstadt 10 2 2 6 -10 8
16 Werder Bremen 10 2 1 7 -15 7
17 FC Ingolstadt 04 10 0 2 8 -14 2
18 Hamburg 10 0 2 8 -19 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Darmstadt FC Ingolstadt 04
Anis Ben-Hatira 🟨
4′
35′
🟨 Markus Suttner
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 L. Hinterseer
↦ M. Suttner
M. Vrančić 🔁
↦ L. Kleinheisler
46′
61′
🟨 Roger
S. Sirigu 🔁
↦ Ä. Ben-Hatira
63′
66′
🟨 Marcel Tisserand
68′
M. Hartmann 0–1
L. Hinterseer
73′
🟨 Florent Hadergjonaj
S. Schipplock 🔁
↦ J. Gondorf
75′
78′
🔁 S. Kittel
↦ M. Hartmann
92′
🔁 M. Christiansen
↦ A. Cohen
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Darmstadt

4-4-1-1
31 M. Esser G
4 A. Sulu D
3 A. Milosevic D
21 I. Höhn D
2 L. Guwara D
20 M. Heller M
23 F. Jungwirth D
8 J. Gondorf M
30 L. Kleinheisler M
28 Ä. Ben-Hatira M
16 A. Colak F
Bench (7)
6 M. Vrančić
17 S. Sirigu
39 S. Schipplock
1 Daniel Heuer
18 P. Niemeyer
22 D. Oliynyk
32 F. Holland

Coach: N. Meier

FC Ingolstadt 04

4-2-3-1
35 M. Hansen G
34 M. Matip D
29 M. Suttner D
3 A. Jung D
32 M. Tisserand D
33 F. Hadergjonaj D
8 Roger M
36 A. Cohen M
10 P. Groß F
9 M. Hartmann F
7 M. Leckie M
Bench (7)
16 L. Hinterseer
21 S. Kittel
19 M. Christiansen
1 Ø. Nyland
13 R. Leipertz
14 S. Lex
17 H. Wahl

Coach: M. Walpurgis

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Christian Dingert · 74 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,6 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.