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Bundesliga
Referee: Sören Storks
Bayern Munich
T S S S S
1–1
Full-time
Augsburg
T S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bayern Munich Augsburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
83%
17%
Points per game
2,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,7
3,0
Scored
2,5
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-0,7
This season — Bundesliga · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 63%
100%
25%
Points per game
3,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
75%
75%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
3,3
3,3
Scored
2,8
1,5
Conceded
0,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
+2,3
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

64% Possession 36%
15 Shots 12
8 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 7
8 Corners 4
3 Offside 4
6 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bayern Munich 1. · Augsburg 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 4 4 0 0 +9 12
2 Werder Bremen 5 3 2 0 +4 11
3 Hertha 5 3 1 1 +3 10
4 Dortmund 4 2 2 0 +5 8
5 Wolfsburg 4 2 1 1 +1 7
6 M'gladbach 4 2 1 1 +1 7
7 Mainz 4 2 1 1 +1 7
8 Nurnberg 4 1 2 1 +1 5
9 Fortuna Dusseldorf 4 1 2 1 +0 5
10 RB Leipzig 4 1 2 1 -2 5
11 Hoffenheim 4 1 1 2 -1 4
12 Augsburg 4 1 1 2 -1 4
13 Ein Frankfurt 4 1 1 2 -1 4
14 Freiburg 4 1 1 2 -2 4
15 Leverkusen 4 1 0 3 -5 3
16 Hannover 4 0 2 2 -3 2
17 Stuttgart 4 0 2 2 -4 2
18 Schalke 04 4 0 0 4 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bayern Munich Augsburg
Leon Goretzka 🟨
13′
19′
🟨 Rani Khedira
Renato Sanches 🟨
30′
Half-time 0–0
D. Alaba 🔁
↦ L. Goretzka
46′
1–0 A. Robben
S. Gnabry
47′
F. Ribéry 🔁
↦ S. Gnabry
59′
61′
🔁 F. Götze
↦ J. Morávek
73′
🟨 Raphael Framberger
Thiago Alcântara 🔁
↦ S. Wagner
75′
Thiago Alcántara 🟨
77′
77′
🔁 S. Córdova
↦ M. Gregoritsch
86′
F. Götze 1–1
J. Gouweleeuw
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Bayern Munich

4-3-3
1 M. Neuer G
5 M. Hummels D
4 N. Süle D
32 J. Kimmich D
10 A. Robben M
8 Javi Martínez M
18 L. Goretzka M
22 S. Gnabry M
35 Renato Sanches M
25 T. Müller M
2 S. Wagner F
Bench (7)
27 D. Alaba
7 F. Ribéry
6 Thiago Alcântara
9 R. Lewandowski
11 J. Rodríguez
17 J. Boateng
26 S. Ulreich

Coach: N. Kovač

Augsburg

3-4-3
1 A. Luthe G
36 M. Hinteregger D
6 J. Gouweleeuw D
31 P. Max D
32 R. Framberger D
10 D. Baier M
30 Caiuby M
28 A. Hahn F
14 J. Morávek M
11 M. Gregoritsch M
8 R. Khedira M
Bench (7)
4 F. Götze
21 S. Córdova
13 F. Giefer
17 J. Schmid
23 M. Richter
34 G. Teigl
38 K. Danso

Coach: M. Baum

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Sören Storks · 35 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.