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Bundesliga

Referee: Martin Petersen

Mainz

S S T S U

2–1

Full-time

Augsburg

U T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mainz Augsburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,3

2,7

Scored

1,3

Conceded

1,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,0

This season — Bundesliga · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

1,5

2,5

Scored

1,0

1,5

Conceded

0,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

53% Possession 47%

21 Shots 14

7 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 4

1 Offside 4

9 Free kicks against 18

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Mainz 8. · Augsburg 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	3	2	1	0	+5	7
2	Bayern Munich	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Wolfsburg	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Hertha	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	M'gladbach	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Augsburg	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Werder Bremen	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Mainz	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Hoffenheim	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Ein Frankfurt	3	1	0	2	-1	3
11	Hannover	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Fortuna Dusseldorf	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Nurnberg	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	RB Leipzig	2	0	1	1	-3	1
15	Schalke 04	2	0	0	2	-3	0
16	Freiburg	2	0	0	2	-4	0
17	Leverkusen	2	0	0	2	-4	0
18	Stuttgart	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Bayern Munich	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Hoffenheim	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	M'gladbach	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Wolfsburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Hertha	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Mainz	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Augsburg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Werder Bremen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	RB Leipzig	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Nurnberg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Hannover	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Fortuna Dusseldorf	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Ein Frankfurt	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Leverkusen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Freiburg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Schalke 04	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Stuttgart	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Wolfsburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Hertha	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Augsburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Werder Bremen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Ein Frankfurt	2	1	0	1	+0	3
7	M'gladbach	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Hannover	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Fortuna Dusseldorf	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Mainz	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Dortmund	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Schalke 04	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Nurnberg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Stuttgart	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Hoffenheim	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Freiburg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Leverkusen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	RB Leipzig	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.