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Serie A

Referee: Paolo Silvio Mazzoleni

Inter

T U S T S

2–1

Full-time

Fiorentina

S S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Inter Fiorentina

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,5

3,3

Scored

1,5

2,0

Conceded

1,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,7

This season — Serie A · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 50%

40%

60%

Points per game

1,4

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 40%

40%

Both score Ø 30%

20%

40%

Average goals

2,0

2,8

Scored

1,2

2,2

Conceded

0,8

0,6

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+1,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

49% Possession 51%

13 Shots 16

3 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 8

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

6 Corners 3

1 Offside 2

18 Free kicks against 23

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Inter 9. · Fiorentina 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	5	5	0	0	+7	15
2	Napoli	5	4	0	1	+2	12
3	Fiorentina	5	3	1	1	+8	10
4	Sassuolo	5	3	1	1	+4	10
5	Lazio	5	3	0	2	+2	9
6	Spal	5	3	0	2	+0	9
7	Udinese	5	2	2	1	+2	8
8	Sampdoria	5	2	1	2	+6	7
9	Inter	5	2	1	2	+2	7
10	Parma	5	2	1	2	+1	7
11	Genoa	4	2	0	2	-3	6
12	Atalanta	5	1	2	2	+1	5
13	Milan	4	1	2	1	+0	5
14	Roma	5	1	2	2	-2	5
15	Torino	5	1	2	2	-2	5
16	Cagliari	5	1	2	2	-3	5
17	Empoli	5	1	1	3	-2	4
18	Bologna	5	1	1	3	-3	4
19	Chievo	5	0	2	3	-8	2
20	Frosinone	5	0	1	4	-12	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fiorentina	3	3	0	0	+9	9
2	Sassuolo	3	3	0	0	+5	9
3	Lazio	3	2	0	1	+3	6
4	Juventus	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Spal	2	2	0	0	+3	6
6	Napoli	2	2	0	0	+2	6
7	Genoa	2	2	0	0	+2	6
8	Sampdoria	3	1	1	1	+2	4
9	Parma	3	1	1	1	+1	4
10	Milan	2	1	1	0	+1	4
11	Udinese	2	1	1	0	+1	4
12	Atalanta	2	1	0	1	+3	3
13	Empoli	2	1	0	1	+1	3
14	Torino	3	1	0	2	-2	3
15	Bologna	3	1	0	2	-2	3
16	Roma	2	0	2	0	+0	2
17	Cagliari	2	0	2	0	+0	2
18	Inter	2	0	1	1	-1	1
19	Chievo	3	0	1	2	-3	1
20	Frosinone	3	0	1	2	-7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	3	3	0	0	+4	9
2	Inter	3	2	0	1	+3	6
3	Napoli	3	2	0	1	+0	6
4	Udinese	3	1	1	1	+1	4
5	Sampdoria	2	1	0	1	+4	3
6	Parma	2	1	0	1	+0	3
7	Lazio	2	1	0	1	-1	3
8	Roma	3	1	0	2	-2	3
9	Cagliari	3	1	0	2	-3	3
10	Spal	3	1	0	2	-3	3
11	Torino	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Atalanta	3	0	2	1	-2	2
13	Sassuolo	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Milan	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Fiorentina	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Bologna	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Empoli	3	0	1	2	-3	1
18	Chievo	2	0	1	1	-5	1
19	Genoa	2	0	0	2	-5	0
20	Frosinone	2	0	0	2	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.