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Bundesliga
Referee: Robert Hartmann
Wolfsburg
T S S U S
2–0
Full-time
Stuttgart
S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wolfsburg Stuttgart
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,3
2,3
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,7
This season — Bundesliga · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 34%
40%
27%
Points per game
1,5
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
67%
60%
Both score Ø 44%
60%
27%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
1,5
0,7
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

56% Possession 44%
16 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 8
2 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Wolfsburg 8. · Stuttgart 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Dortmund 15 12 3 0 +26 39
2 M'gladbach 16 10 3 3 +19 33
3 Bayern Munich 15 9 3 3 +14 30
4 RB Leipzig 15 8 4 3 +14 28
5 Ein Frankfurt 15 8 2 5 +14 26
6 Hoffenheim 15 6 5 4 +9 23
7 Hertha 15 6 5 4 +1 23
8 Wolfsburg 15 6 4 5 +2 22
9 Werder Bremen 15 6 3 6 +0 21
10 Mainz 15 5 4 6 -5 19
11 Leverkusen 15 5 3 7 -6 18
12 Freiburg 15 4 5 6 -5 17
13 Schalke 04 15 4 3 8 -5 15
14 Augsburg 15 3 5 7 -3 14
15 Stuttgart 15 4 2 9 -19 14
16 Fortuna Dusseldorf 15 3 3 9 -16 12
17 Nurnberg 16 2 5 9 -23 11
18 Hannover 15 2 4 9 -17 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Wolfsburg Stuttgart
1–0 J. Guilavogui
M. Arnold
24′
Jérôme Roussillon 🟨
39′
2–0 W. Weghorst
44′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 E. Thommy
↦ A. Donis
50′
🟨 Nicolás González
54′
🔁 D. Didavi
↦ C. Akolo
F. Uduokhai 🔁
↦ J. Roussillon
72′
E. Rexhbecaj 🔁
↦ M. Arnold
79′
80′
🟨 Antonis Aidonis
80′
🔁 L. Dajaku
↦ A. Aidonis
R. Steffen 🔁
↦ A. Mehmedi
85′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Wolfsburg

4-3-1-2
1 K. Casteels G
31 R. Knoche D
15 J. Roussillon D
25 J. Brooks D
13 Y. Gerhardt M
2 William D
14 A. Mehmedi M
23 J. Guilavogui M
27 M. Arnold M
33 D. Ginczek F
9 W. Weghorst F
Bench (7)
17 F. Uduokhai
37 E. Rexhbecaj
8 R. Steffen
3 P. Verhaegh
10 Y. Mallı
11 F. Klaus
12 P. Pervan

Coach: B. Labbadia

Stuttgart

4-1-4-1
1 R. Zieler G
2 E. Insúa D
4 M. Kempf D
5 T. Baumgartl D
23 A. Aidonis D
20 C. Gentner M
19 C. Akolo F
6 S. Ascacíbar M
27 M. Gómez F
11 A. Donis F
22 N. González F
Bench (7)
17 E. Thommy
10 D. Didavi
25 L. Dajaku
8 G. Castro
13 J. Grahl
24 B. Sosa
36 H. Sarpei

Coach: M. Weinzierl

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Robert Hartmann · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.