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Bundesliga

Referee: Felix Brych

Stuttgart

T T T U U

3–1

Full-time

Wolfsburg

T S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stuttgart Wolfsburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,8

2,7

Scored

0,7

1,7

Conceded

2,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,5

+0,7

This season — Bundesliga · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 32%

19%

44%

Points per game

0,8

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

69%

44%

Both score Ø 57%

63%

50%

Average goals

3,4

2,7

Scored

1,2

1,6

Conceded

2,3

1,1

Goal diff per game

-1,1

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

24% Possession 76%

9 Shots 17

6 Shots on target 7

1 Blocked shots 2

6 Goalkeeper saves 3

1 Corners 3

4 Offside 3

0 Free kicks against 0

3 Yellow cards 1

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Stuttgart 18. · Wolfsburg 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	17	15	1	1	+38	46
2	Dortmund	17	12	2	3	+24	38
3	Hertha	16	9	2	5	+6	29
4	Leverkusen	17	8	3	6	+5	27
5	Schalke 04	17	8	3	6	+0	27
6	Wolfsburg	16	7	5	4	+7	26
7	M'gladbach	16	8	2	6	+3	26
8	Mainz	16	7	3	6	+2	24
9	FC Koln	17	6	6	5	-3	24
10	Hamburg	17	6	4	7	-4	22
11	FC Ingolstadt 04	17	5	5	7	-7	20
12	Augsburg	17	5	4	8	-5	19
13	Darmstadt	16	4	6	6	-8	18
14	Ein Frankfurt	17	4	5	8	-7	17
15	Werder Bremen	17	4	3	10	-15	15
16	Hannover	17	4	2	11	-11	14
17	Hoffenheim	17	2	7	8	-8	13
18	Stuttgart	16	3	3	10	-17	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	9	9	0	0	+29	27
2	Dortmund	8	7	1	0	+20	22
3	Wolfsburg	9	6	2	1	+14	20
4	Schalke 04	9	5	2	2	+2	17
5	M'gladbach	8	5	1	2	+5	16
6	Hertha	7	5	1	1	+5	16
7	Leverkusen	8	4	2	2	+6	14
8	FC Koln	9	3	4	2	+1	13
9	Mainz	9	4	1	4	+0	13
10	Ein Frankfurt	8	2	3	3	-2	9
11	Hamburg	8	2	2	4	-2	8
12	FC Ingolstadt 04	8	2	2	4	-3	8
13	Augsburg	9	2	2	5	-4	8
14	Hoffenheim	8	1	4	3	-3	7
15	Darmstadt	9	1	4	4	-8	7
16	Stuttgart	8	2	1	5	-9	7
17	Hannover	8	2	0	6	-4	6
18	Werder Bremen	8	1	1	6	-11	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	8	6	1	1	+9	19
2	Dortmund	9	5	1	3	+4	16
3	Hamburg	9	4	2	3	-2	14
4	Hertha	9	4	1	4	+1	13
5	Leverkusen	9	4	1	4	-1	13
6	FC Ingolstadt 04	9	3	3	3	-4	12
7	Mainz	7	3	2	2	+2	11
8	Darmstadt	7	3	2	2	+0	11
9	Augsburg	8	3	2	3	-1	11
10	Werder Bremen	9	3	2	4	-4	11
11	FC Koln	8	3	2	3	-4	11
12	M'gladbach	8	3	1	4	-2	10
13	Schalke 04	8	3	1	4	-2	10
14	Ein Frankfurt	9	2	2	5	-5	8
15	Hannover	9	2	2	5	-7	8
16	Hoffenheim	9	1	3	5	-5	6
17	Wolfsburg	7	1	3	3	-7	6
18	Stuttgart	8	1	2	5	-8	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.