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Bundesliga
Referee: Marco Fritz
Hannover
T S U T T
2–1
Full-time
Wolfsburg
U T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hannover Wolfsburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
100%
33%
Average goals
4,0
2,3
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
2,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,3
This season — Bundesliga · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 20%
10%
30%
Points per game
0,6
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
70%
70%
Both score Ø 70%
80%
60%
Average goals
3,3
2,9
Scored
1,2
1,4
Conceded
2,1
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,9
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

30% Possession 70%
10 Shots 19
4 Shots on target 9
1 Blocked shots 2
8 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 5
1 Offside 0
16 Free kicks against 10
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hannover 16. · Wolfsburg 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Dortmund 10 7 3 0 +20 24
2 M'gladbach 10 6 2 2 +11 20
3 Bayern Munich 10 6 2 2 +7 20
4 RB Leipzig 10 5 4 1 +10 19
5 Ein Frankfurt 10 5 2 3 +10 17
6 Werder Bremen 10 5 2 3 +2 17
7 Hoffenheim 10 5 1 4 +8 16
8 Hertha 10 4 4 2 +2 16
9 Augsburg 10 3 4 3 +2 13
10 Freiburg 10 3 4 3 -2 13
11 Wolfsburg 10 3 3 4 -1 12
12 Mainz 10 3 3 4 -4 12
13 Leverkusen 10 3 2 5 -5 11
14 Schalke 04 10 3 1 6 -4 10
15 Nurnberg 10 2 4 4 -11 10
16 Hannover 10 1 3 6 -9 6
17 Stuttgart 10 1 2 7 -18 5
18 Fortuna Dusseldorf 10 1 2 7 -18 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hannover Wolfsburg
1–0 L. Maina
I. Bebou
31′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 J. Brekalo
↦ D. Ginczek
46′
🔁 J. Zamora
↦ E. Rexhbecaj
62′
🟨 William
2–0 I. Bebou
62′
Matthias Ostrzolek 🟨
65′
Michael Esser 🟨
70′
M. Albornoz 🔁
↦ N. Sarenren-Bazee
70′
Walace 🟨
74′
H. Weydandt 🔁
↦ L. Maina
74′
82′
W. Weghorst 2–1
G. Haraguchi 🔁
↦ B. Wood
87′
Waldemar Anton 🟨
88′
90′
🟨 John Brooks
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Hannover

4-2-3-1
23 M. Esser G
22 M. Ostrzolek M
4 J. Korb M
2 J. Elez D
31 W. Anton D
6 M. Bakalorz M
37 N. Sarenren-Bazee F
8 Walace M
40 L. Maina M
17 B. Wood F
13 I. Bebou M
Bench (7)
3 M. Albornoz
26 H. Weydandt
10 G. Haraguchi
1 P. Tschauner
18 I. Fossum
28 K. Wimmer
35 F. Muslija

Coach: A. Breitenreiter

Wolfsburg

4-3-3
1 K. Casteels G
15 J. Roussillon D
32 M. Tisserand D
25 J. Brooks D
13 Y. Gerhardt M
2 William D
10 Y. Mallı M
27 M. Arnold M
37 E. Rexhbecaj M
33 D. Ginczek F
9 W. Weghorst F
Bench (7)
7 J. Brekalo
29 J. Zamora
3 P. Verhaegh
8 R. Steffen
12 P. Pervan
17 F. Uduokhai
31 R. Knoche

Coach: B. Labbadia

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Marco Fritz · 59 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.