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Bundesliga
Referee: Felix Brych
Hertha
S T U T S
2–2
Full-time
Schalke 04
T U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hertha Schalke 04
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
3,0
2,8
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,2
This season — Bundesliga · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 36%
39%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
61%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
61%
56%
Average goals
3,2
2,6
Scored
1,6
1,2
Conceded
1,6
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

46% Possession 54%
11 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 6
6 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 6
3 Offside 0
16 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hertha 7. · Schalke 04 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Dortmund 18 14 3 1 +27 45
2 Bayern Munich 18 12 3 3 +20 39
3 M'gladbach 18 11 3 4 +19 36
4 RB Leipzig 18 9 4 5 +13 31
5 Ein Frankfurt 18 9 3 6 +13 30
6 Wolfsburg 18 8 4 6 +4 28
7 Hertha 18 7 6 5 +1 27
8 Hoffenheim 18 6 7 5 +7 25
9 Werder Bremen 18 7 4 7 +0 25
10 Leverkusen 18 7 3 8 -4 24
11 Mainz 18 6 6 6 -4 24
12 Schalke 04 18 6 3 9 -3 21
13 Freiburg 18 5 6 7 -6 21
14 Fortuna Dusseldorf 18 6 3 9 -13 21
15 Augsburg 18 3 6 9 -5 15
16 Stuttgart 18 4 2 12 -24 14
17 Hannover 18 2 5 11 -19 11
18 Nurnberg 18 2 5 11 -26 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hertha Schalke 04
Karim Rekik 🟨
14′
17′
Y. Konoplyanka 0–1
B. Stambouli
27′
🔁 S. Serdar
↦ A. Schöpf
33′
🔁 N. Bentaleb
↦ B. Stambouli
1–1 M. Grujić
O. Duda
39′
Davie Selke 🟨
41′
41′
🟨 Sebastian Rudy
44′
M. Uth 1–2
B. Oczipka
Half-time 2–2
2–2 V. Ibišević
D. Selke
49′
S. Kalou 🔁
↦ V. Ibišević
72′
76′
🔁 A. Kutucu
↦ S. Skrzybski
V. Darida 🔁
↦ O. Duda
87′
M. Mittelstädt 🔁
↦ A. Maier
87′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Hertha

3-4-1-2
22 R. Jarstein G
21 M. Plattenhardt D
4 K. Rekik D
5 N. Stark D
28 F. Lustenberger M
20 V. Lazaro M
10 O. Duda M
15 M. Grujić M
23 A. Maier M
19 V. Ibišević F
27 D. Selke F
Bench (7)
8 S. Kalou
6 V. Darida
17 M. Mittelstädt
1 T. Kraft
3 P. Skjelbred
14 P. Köpke
25 J. Torunarigha

Coach: P. Dárdai

Schalke 04

4-2-3-1
35 A. Nübel G
24 B. Oczipka M
5 M. Nastasić D
17 B. Stambouli D
26 S. Sané D
13 S. Rudy M
18 D. Caligiuri M
11 Y. Konoplyanka F
28 A. Schöpf M
22 S. Skrzybski F
7 M. Uth F
Bench (7)
8 S. Serdar
10 N. Bentaleb
15 A. Kutucu
1 R. Fährmann
3 H. Mendyl
6 Omar Mascarell
40 H. Wright

Coach: D. Tedesco

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Felix Brych · 71 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.