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Bundesliga
Referee: Felix Brych
Stuttgart
T S T S T
1–3
Full-time
Schalke 04
S U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stuttgart Schalke 04
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
17%
83%
Average goals
2,2
3,3
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,3
This season — Bundesliga · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 25%
25%
25%
Points per game
0,9
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
56%
44%
Both score Ø 38%
25%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,5
Scored
0,7
1,1
Conceded
2,0
1,4
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

62% Possession 38%
17 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 6
8 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
2 Corners 5
0 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 17
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Stuttgart 16. · Schalke 04 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Dortmund 17 13 3 1 +26 42
2 M'gladbach 17 10 3 4 +18 33
3 Bayern Munich 16 10 3 3 +15 33
4 RB Leipzig 16 8 4 4 +13 28
5 Ein Frankfurt 16 8 3 5 +14 27
6 Wolfsburg 16 7 4 5 +4 25
7 Hoffenheim 16 6 6 4 +9 24
8 Hertha 16 6 6 4 +1 24
9 Werder Bremen 16 6 4 6 +0 22
10 Leverkusen 16 6 3 7 -5 21
11 Mainz 16 5 5 6 -5 20
12 Freiburg 16 4 6 6 -5 18
13 Augsburg 16 3 6 7 -3 15
14 Schalke 04 16 4 3 9 -6 15
15 Fortuna Dusseldorf 16 4 3 9 -15 15
16 Stuttgart 16 4 2 10 -21 14
17 Hannover 16 2 5 9 -17 11
18 Nurnberg 16 2 5 9 -23 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stuttgart Schalke 04
10′
S. Skrzybski 0–1
B. Oczipka
41′
🟨 Alessandro Schöpf
Half-time 0–1
50′
🟨 Daniel Caligiuri
Christian Gentner 🟨
55′
C. Akolo 🔁
↦ D. Didavi
58′
59′
🔁 W. McKennie
↦ S. Serdar
62′
🟨 Weston McKennie
G. Castro 🔁
↦ E. Thommy
68′
70′
S. Sané 0–2
B. Oczipka
73′
🔁 A. Kutucu
↦ Y. Konoplyanka
1–2 N. González
C. Akolo
76′
78′
A. Kutucu 1–3
S. Skrzybski
A. Donis 🔁
↦ A. Beck
79′
87′
🔁 H. Wright
↦ D. Caligiuri
Ron-Robert Zieler 🟨
89′
Santiago Ascacibar 🟨
89′
89′
🟨 Bastian Oczipka
89′
🟨 Nabil Bentaleb
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Stuttgart

4-2-3-1
1 R. Zieler G
32 A. Beck D
2 E. Insúa D
4 M. Kempf D
5 T. Baumgartl D
20 C. Gentner M
10 D. Didavi M
17 E. Thommy M
6 S. Ascacíbar M
27 M. Gómez F
22 N. González F
Bench (7)
19 C. Akolo
8 G. Castro
11 A. Donis
23 A. Aidonis
24 B. Sosa
36 H. Sarpei
13 J. Grahl

Coach: M. Weinzierl

Schalke 04

4-2-3-1
1 R. Fährmann G
24 B. Oczipka M
5 M. Nastasić D
17 B. Stambouli D
26 S. Sané D
18 D. Caligiuri M
11 Y. Konoplyanka F
10 N. Bentaleb M
28 A. Schöpf M
8 S. Serdar M
22 S. Skrzybski F
Bench (7)
2 W. McKennie
15 A. Kutucu
40 H. Wright
13 S. Rudy
39 B. Goller
35 A. Nübel
21 S. Riether

Coach: D. Tedesco

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Felix Brych · 71 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.