Bundesliga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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RB Leipzig
Hertha
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 2–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Dortmund
|
27 | 19 | 6 | 2 | +36 | 63 |
| 2 |
Bayern Munich
|
27 | 19 | 4 | 4 | +41 | 61 |
| 3 |
RB Leipzig
|
26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | +24 | 49 |
| 4 |
M'gladbach
|
27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | +12 | 47 |
| 5 |
Ein Frankfurt
|
26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | +21 | 46 |
| 6 |
Werder Bremen
|
27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | +10 | 42 |
| 7 |
Leverkusen
|
27 | 13 | 3 | 11 | +4 | 42 |
| 8 |
Wolfsburg
|
27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | +3 | 42 |
| 9 |
Hoffenheim
|
27 | 10 | 11 | 6 | +15 | 41 |
| 10 |
Hertha
|
26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | +1 | 35 |
| 11 |
Fortuna Dusseldorf
|
27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | -15 | 34 |
| 12 |
Freiburg
|
27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | -5 | 32 |
| 13 |
Mainz
|
27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | -20 | 30 |
| 14 |
Augsburg
|
27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | -13 | 25 |
| 15 |
Schalke 04
|
26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | -17 | 23 |
| 16 |
Stuttgart
|
26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | -30 | 20 |
| 17 |
Nurnberg
|
27 | 3 | 7 | 17 | -30 | 16 |
| 18 |
Hannover
|
26 | 3 | 5 | 18 | -37 | 14 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
P. Gulácsi
G
W. Orban
D
N. Mukiele
D
I. Konaté
D
T. Adams
M
A. Haidara
M
Y. Poulsen
F
Coach: R. Rangnick
N. Stark
D
M. Mittelstädt
M
D. Selke
F
Coach: P. Dárdai
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Schalke 04
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig
Augsburg
Nurnberg
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig
Hoffenheim
Stuttgart
RB Leipzig
Sören Storks · 35 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.