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Bundesliga
Referee: Sören Storks
RB Leipzig
S U S U S
5–0
Full-time
Hertha
U T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

RB Leipzig Hertha
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,3
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
0,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,2
This season — Bundesliga · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 45%
54%
35%
Points per game
1,9
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
46%
62%
Both score Ø 49%
35%
62%
Average goals
2,5
3,0
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
0,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,9
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

49% Possession 51%
22 Shots 6
9 Shots on target 0
4 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 3
4 Offside 7
7 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match RB Leipzig 3. · Hertha 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Dortmund 27 19 6 2 +36 63
2 Bayern Munich 27 19 4 4 +41 61
3 RB Leipzig 26 14 7 5 +24 49
4 M'gladbach 27 14 5 8 +12 47
5 Ein Frankfurt 26 13 7 6 +21 46
6 Werder Bremen 27 11 9 7 +10 42
7 Leverkusen 27 13 3 11 +4 42
8 Wolfsburg 27 12 6 9 +3 42
9 Hoffenheim 27 10 11 6 +15 41
10 Hertha 26 9 8 9 +1 35
11 Fortuna Dusseldorf 27 10 4 13 -15 34
12 Freiburg 27 7 11 9 -5 32
13 Mainz 27 8 6 13 -20 30
14 Augsburg 27 6 7 14 -13 25
15 Schalke 04 26 6 5 15 -17 23
16 Stuttgart 26 5 5 16 -30 20
17 Nurnberg 27 3 7 17 -30 16
18 Hannover 26 3 5 18 -37 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

RB Leipzig Hertha
13′
🟨 Niklas Stark
1–0 E. Forsberg
K. Kampl
17′
2–0 Y. Poulsen
T. Werner
27′
Nordi Mukiele 🟨
42′
Half-time 3–0
3–0 Y. Poulsen
E. Forsberg
56′
59′
🔁 L. Klünter
↦ F. Lustenberger
4–0 Y. Poulsen
T. Adams
62′
5–0 A. Haidara
T. Werner
64′
K. Laimer 🔁
↦ N. Mukiele
65′
Matheus Cunha 🔁
↦ Y. Poulsen
70′
M. Sabitzer 🔁
↦ E. Forsberg
75′
75′
🔁 M. Leckie
↦ S. Kalou
77′
🔁 P. Skjelbred
↦ A. Maier
Full-time 5–0

Line-ups

RB Leipzig

4-3-1-2
1 P. Gulácsi G
23 M. Halstenberg D
4 W. Orban D
22 N. Mukiele D
6 I. Konaté D
10 E. Forsberg M
44 K. Kampl M
14 T. Adams M
8 A. Haidara M
9 Y. Poulsen F
11 T. Werner F
Bench (7)
27 K. Laimer
20 Matheus Cunha
7 M. Sabitzer
3 M. Saracchi
28 Y. Mvogo
17 Bruma
13 S. Ilsanker

Coach: R. Rangnick

Hertha

3-4-1-2
22 R. Jarstein G
4 K. Rekik D
5 N. Stark D
17 M. Mittelstädt M
8 S. Kalou M
28 F. Lustenberger D
20 V. Lazaro M
10 O. Duda M
15 M. Grujić M
23 A. Maier M
27 D. Selke F
Bench (7)
13 L. Klünter
11 M. Leckie
3 P. Skjelbred
32 D. Jastrzembski
1 T. Kraft
2 P. Pekarík
21 M. Plattenhardt

Coach: P. Dárdai

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Sören Storks · 35 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.