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Bundesliga

Referee: Deniz Aytekin

Holstein Kiel

S S T T S

1–5

Full-time

FC Koln

S T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Holstein Kiel FC Koln

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,5

2,5

Scored

2,2

1,2

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,2

This season — Bundesliga · 1/35 matches

Win Ø 62%

100%

23%

Points per game

3,0

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 29%

57%

Both score Ø 29%

57%

Average goals

1,0

2,7

Scored

1,0

Conceded

0,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–4

59% Possession 41%

10 Shots 19

3 Shots on target 11

2 Blocked shots 1

6 Goalkeeper saves 2

2 Corners 8

1 Offside 2

8 Free kicks against 17

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	34	24	6	4	+55	78
2	RB Leipzig	34	19	8	7	+28	65
3	Dortmund	34	20	4	10	+29	64
4	Wolfsburg	34	17	10	7	+24	61
5	Ein Frankfurt	34	16	12	6	+16	60
6	Leverkusen	34	14	10	10	+14	52
7	Union Berlin	34	12	14	8	+7	50
8	M'gladbach	34	13	10	11	+8	49
9	Stuttgart	34	12	9	13	+1	45
10	Freiburg	34	12	9	13	+0	45
11	Hoffenheim	34	11	10	13	-2	43
12	Mainz	34	10	9	15	-17	39
13	Augsburg	34	10	6	18	-18	36
14	Hertha	34	8	11	15	-11	35
15	Bielefeld	34	9	8	17	-26	35
16	FC Koln	35	8	9	18	-27	33
17	Werder Bremen	34	7	10	17	-21	31
18	Schalke 04	34	3	7	24	-61	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	17	13	4	0	+43	43
2	Ein Frankfurt	17	10	7	0	+17	37
3	RB Leipzig	17	11	4	2	+16	37
4	Dortmund	17	11	2	4	+20	35
5	Wolfsburg	17	10	4	3	+16	34
6	Union Berlin	17	8	8	1	+14	32
7	Leverkusen	17	8	5	4	+12	29
8	M'gladbach	17	8	4	5	+13	28
9	Freiburg	17	7	6	4	+10	27
10	Hoffenheim	17	8	3	6	+8	27
11	Augsburg	17	6	4	7	-4	22
12	Stuttgart	17	5	6	6	+1	21
13	Hertha	17	5	5	7	-5	20
14	Bielefeld	17	6	2	9	-10	20
15	Mainz	17	4	4	9	-10	16
16	FC Koln	18	3	5	10	-12	14
17	Werder Bremen	17	3	5	9	-12	14
18	Schalke 04	17	3	3	11	-20	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	17	11	2	4	+12	35
2	Dortmund	17	9	2	6	+9	29
3	RB Leipzig	17	8	4	5	+12	28
4	Wolfsburg	17	7	6	4	+8	27
5	Stuttgart	17	7	3	7	+0	24
6	Leverkusen	17	6	5	6	+2	23
7	Ein Frankfurt	17	6	5	6	-1	23
8	Mainz	17	6	5	6	-7	23
9	M'gladbach	17	5	6	6	-5	21
10	FC Koln	17	5	4	8	-15	19
11	Union Berlin	17	4	6	7	-7	18
12	Freiburg	17	5	3	9	-10	18
13	Werder Bremen	17	4	5	8	-9	17
14	Hoffenheim	17	3	7	7	-10	16
15	Hertha	17	3	6	8	-6	15
16	Bielefeld	17	3	6	8	-16	15
17	Augsburg	17	4	2	11	-14	14
18	Schalke 04	17	0	4	13	-41	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.