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Bundesliga

Referee: M Fritz

FC Koln

T T T S S

1–4

Full-time

Freiburg

T T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Koln Freiburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,5

2,5

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

2,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,2

This season — Bundesliga · 31/31 matches

Win Ø 29%

23%

35%

Points per game

0,9

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 61%

61%

Both score Ø 58%

61%

55%

Average goals

2,8

2,9

Scored

1,0

1,5

Conceded

1,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

55% Possession 45%

18 Shots 11

2 Shots on target 6

8 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 2

1 Offside 2

15 Free kicks against 16

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match FC Koln 17. · Freiburg 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	32	23	5	4	+52	74
2	RB Leipzig	32	19	7	6	+29	64
3	Wolfsburg	32	17	9	6	+25	60
4	Dortmund	32	18	4	10	+25	58
5	Ein Frankfurt	31	15	11	5	+15	56
6	Leverkusen	32	14	9	9	+16	51
7	M'gladbach	32	12	10	10	+7	46
8	Union Berlin	32	11	13	8	+6	46
9	Stuttgart	32	11	9	12	+2	42
10	Freiburg	31	11	8	12	-1	41
11	Hoffenheim	32	10	9	13	-3	39
12	Mainz	31	9	8	14	-16	35
13	Augsburg	32	9	6	17	-17	33
14	Werder Bremen	32	7	10	15	-17	31
15	Hertha	30	7	9	14	-11	30
16	Bielefeld	31	8	6	17	-28	30
17	FC Koln	31	7	8	16	-24	29
18	Schalke 04	31	2	7	22	-60	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	16	12	4	0	+40	40
2	RB Leipzig	16	11	3	2	+16	36
3	Wolfsburg	16	10	4	2	+17	34
4	Ein Frankfurt	15	9	6	0	+15	33
5	Dortmund	16	10	2	4	+18	32
6	Union Berlin	16	7	8	1	+13	29
7	M'gladbach	16	8	4	4	+14	28
8	Leverkusen	16	8	4	4	+12	28
9	Freiburg	16	7	5	4	+10	26
10	Hoffenheim	16	7	3	6	+7	24
11	Stuttgart	16	5	6	5	+3	21
12	Augsburg	16	5	4	7	-6	19
13	Bielefeld	16	6	1	9	-10	19
14	Hertha	15	5	3	7	-5	18
15	Mainz	16	4	4	8	-8	16
16	Werder Bremen	16	3	5	8	-10	14
17	FC Koln	15	2	5	8	-9	11
18	Schalke 04	15	2	3	10	-20	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	16	11	1	4	+12	34
2	RB Leipzig	16	8	4	4	+13	28
3	Wolfsburg	16	7	5	4	+8	26
4	Dortmund	16	8	2	6	+7	26
5	Leverkusen	16	6	5	5	+4	23
6	Ein Frankfurt	16	6	5	5	+0	23
7	Stuttgart	16	6	3	7	-1	21
8	Mainz	15	5	4	6	-8	19
9	M'gladbach	16	4	6	6	-7	18
10	FC Koln	16	5	3	8	-15	18
11	Werder Bremen	16	4	5	7	-7	17
12	Union Berlin	16	4	5	7	-7	17
13	Hoffenheim	16	3	6	7	-10	15
14	Freiburg	15	4	3	8	-11	15
15	Augsburg	16	4	2	10	-11	14
16	Hertha	15	2	6	7	-6	12
17	Bielefeld	15	2	5	8	-18	11
18	Schalke 04	16	0	4	12	-40	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.