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Bundesliga
Referee: D Siebert
FC Koln
T S S T U
1–0
Full-time
Schalke 04
T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Koln Schalke 04
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,5
3,7
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
2,2
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-1,0
This season — Bundesliga · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 15%
21%
9%
Points per game
0,9
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 66%
61%
70%
Both score Ø 52%
61%
42%
Average goals
2,8
3,3
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,8
2,6
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-1,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

66% Possession 34%
20 Shots 7
10 Shots on target 1
6 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 9
8 Corners 4
3 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match FC Koln 17. · Schalke 04 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 33 23 6 4 +52 75
2 RB Leipzig 33 19 8 6 +29 65
3 Dortmund 33 19 4 10 +27 61
4 Wolfsburg 33 17 10 6 +25 61
5 Ein Frankfurt 33 15 12 6 +14 57
6 Leverkusen 33 14 10 9 +16 52
7 Union Berlin 33 11 14 8 +6 47
8 M'gladbach 33 12 10 11 +6 46
9 Stuttgart 33 12 9 12 +3 45
10 Freiburg 33 12 9 12 +2 45
11 Hoffenheim 33 10 10 13 -3 40
12 Augsburg 33 10 6 17 -15 36
13 Mainz 33 9 9 15 -18 36
14 Hertha 33 8 11 14 -10 35
15 Bielefeld 33 8 8 17 -28 32
16 Werder Bremen 33 7 10 16 -19 31
17 FC Koln 33 7 9 17 -27 30
18 Schalke 04 33 3 7 23 -60 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

FC Koln Schalke 04
30′
🟨 F. Flick
S. Bornauw 🟨
44′
Half-time 0–0
F. Kainz 🔁
↦ J. Thielmann
58′
69′
🟨 B. Idrizi
72′
🔁 G. Paciencia
↦ B. Raman
B. Schmitz 🔁
↦ D. Drexler
79′
S. Ozcan 🔁
↦ M. Meyer
79′
1–0 S. Bornauw
86′
87′
🔁 B. Idrizi
↦ S. Skrzybski
M. Wolf 🔁
↦ J. Horn
88′
S. Andersson 🔁
↦ M. Hoger
88′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

FC Koln

4-2-3-1
1 Timo Horn G
2 Benno Schmitz D
33 Sebastiaan Bornauw D
5 Rafael Czichos D
3 Noah Katterbach D
21 Salih Özcan M
14 Jonas Hector M
31 Marius Wolf M
18 Ondrej Duda M
11 Florian Kainz M
9 Sebastian Andersson F
Bench (9)
16 Ron-Robert Zieler
22 Jorge Mere
19 Kingsley Ehizibue
23 Jannes Horn
6 Marco Höger
13 Max Meyer
29 Jan Thielmann
24 Dominick Drexler
7 Tolu Arokodare

Coach: F. Funkel

Schalke 04

3-5-2
1 Ralf Fährmann G
31 Timo Becker D
26 Salif Sané D
30 Shkodran Mustafi D
38 Mehmet-Can Aydin M
36 Blendi Idrizi M
41 Florian Flick M
25 Amine Harit M
24 Bastian Oczipka M
18 Gonçalo Paciência F
43 Matthew Hoppe F
Bench (9)
34 Michael Langer
19 Ezeh Brooklyn
15 Henning Matriciani
49 Vasilios Pavlidis
45 Jimmy Kaparos
2 Kilian Ludewig
28 Alessandro Schöpf
9 Benito Raman
22 Steven Skrzybski

Coach: D. Grammozis

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,35
U
5,57
B
8,01
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,33
U2,5 ✓
3,31
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Siebert · 158 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.