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La Liga
Referee: Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea
Vallecano
U T
1–3
Full-time
La Coruna
U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vallecano La Coruna
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
1,5
1,0
Scored
0,0
0,5
Conceded
1,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+0,0
This season — La Liga · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
1,5
1,0
Scored
0,0
0,5
Conceded
1,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

63% Possession 37%
8 Shots 14
2 Shots on target 8
2 Blocked shots 2
6 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 4
4 Offside 5
0 Free kicks against 0
2 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Vallecano 19. · La Coruna 12. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 3 3 0 0 +3 9
2 Real Madrid 3 2 1 0 +11 7
3 Celta 3 2 1 0 +4 7
4 Villarreal 3 2 1 0 +4 7
5 Eibar 3 2 1 0 +4 7
6 Ath Madrid 3 2 0 1 +3 6
7 Valencia 3 1 2 0 +1 5
8 Betis 3 1 1 1 -4 4
9 Ath Bilbao 3 1 0 2 -1 3
10 Granada 3 1 0 2 -3 3
11 Espanol 3 1 0 2 -7 3
12 La Coruna 2 0 2 0 +0 2
13 Las Palmas 3 0 2 1 -1 2
14 Levante 3 0 2 1 -1 2
15 Malaga 3 0 2 1 -1 2
16 Sociedad 3 0 2 1 -1 2
17 Sp Gijon 3 0 2 1 -1 2
18 Sevilla 3 0 2 1 -3 2
19 Vallecano 2 0 1 1 -3 1
20 Getafe 3 0 0 3 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Vallecano La Coruna
7′
⚽ C. Borges 0–1
Luis Alberto
1–1 Adri Embarba ⚽
Raúl Baena
27′
28′
⚽ Luis Alberto 1–2
32′
🟨 Laure
Patrick Ebert 🟨
35′
45′
🟨 Alejandro Arribas
Half-time 1–3
61′
⚽ Lucas Pérez 1–3
Pedro Mosquera
Manucho Gonçalves 🔁
↦ Javi Guerra
62′
A. Bangoura 🔁
↦ Quini
62′
64′
🔁 Luisinho
↦ Luis Alberto
72′
🔁 Juan Domínguez
↦ Juanfran
Diego Llorente 🟨
73′
Patrick Ebert 🟥
77′
78′
🔁 Lopo
↦ Alejandro Arribas
L. Fariña 🔁
↦ Pablo Hernández
80′
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Vallecano

13 Juan Carlos G
4 Antonio Amaya D
3 Nacho Martínez D
27 Diego Llorente D
20 P. Ebert M
14 Pablo Hernández M
10 Roberto Trashorras M
8 Raúl Baena M
17 Quini D
11 Adri Embarba M
24 Javi Guerra F
Bench (7)
9 Manucho Gonçalves
19 A. Bangoura
12 L. Fariña
5 Chechu Dorado
15 R. Raţ
21 Jozabed
30 Álex Campos

La Coruna

1 G. Lux G
3 Fernando Navarro D
12 Sidnei D
15 Laure D
14 Alejandro Arribas D
22 C. Borges M
5 Pedro Mosquera M
19 F. Fajr M
11 Juanfran D
21 Luis Alberto F
7 Lucas Pérez F
Bench (7)
16 Luisinho
10 Juan Domínguez
23 Lopo
4 Álex Bergantiños
17 F. Cartabia
20 Jonathan Rodríguez
25 Manu

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea · 120 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.