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Premier League
Referee: Anthony Taylor
West Ham
S T T S
2–0
Full-time
Newcastle
U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

West Ham Newcastle
Last 6 — all competitions · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,5
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
75%
25%
Both score Ø 38%
50%
25%
Average goals
3,8
1,8
Scored
2,3
0,5
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,8
This season — Premier League · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,5
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
75%
25%
Both score Ø 38%
50%
25%
Average goals
3,8
1,8
Scored
2,3
0,5
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

39% Possession 61%
17 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 7
0 Offside 2
0 Free kicks against 0
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match West Ham 10. · Newcastle 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Man City 5 5 0 0 +11 15
2 Leicester 5 3 2 0 +4 11
3 Man United 5 3 1 1 +3 10
4 Arsenal 5 3 1 1 +2 10
5 Crystal Palace 5 3 0 2 +2 9
6 Everton 5 2 2 1 +3 8
7 Swansea 5 2 2 1 +2 8
8 Norwich 5 2 1 2 -1 7
9 Liverpool 5 2 1 2 -3 7
10 West Ham 4 2 0 2 +3 6
11 Southampton 5 1 3 1 +0 6
12 Tottenham 5 1 3 1 +0 6
13 Watford 5 1 3 1 -1 6
14 West Brom 5 1 2 2 -3 5
15 Aston Villa 5 1 1 3 -2 4
16 Bournemouth 5 1 1 3 -3 4
17 Chelsea 5 1 1 3 -5 4
18 Newcastle 4 0 2 2 -3 2
19 Stoke 5 0 2 3 -4 2
20 Sunderland 5 0 2 3 -5 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

West Ham Newcastle
1–0 D. Payet
M. Noble
9′
30′
🟨 Jack Colback
C. Jenkinson 🔁
↦ A. Ogbonna
42′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 D. Payet
48′
57′
🟨 Daryl Janmaat
Pedro Obiang 🔁
↦ M. Lanzini
59′
60′
🔁 S. de Jong
↦ V. Anita
60′
🔁 Ayoze Pérez
↦ F. Thauvin
79′
🔁 R. Aarons
↦ G. Wijnaldum
A. Carroll 🔁
↦ V. Moses
88′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

West Ham

1 D. Randolph G
21 A. Ogbonna D
2 W. Reid D
5 J. Tomkins D
3 A. Cresswell D
27 D. Payet M
16 M. Noble M
20 V. Moses M
8 C. Kouyaté M
28 M. Lanzini M
15 D. Sakho F
Bench (7)
12 C. Jenkinson
14 Pedro Obiang
9 A. Carroll
19 J. Collins
26 N. Jelavić
30 M. Antonio
34 R. Spiegel

Newcastle

1 T. Krul G
2 F. Coloccini D
22 D. Janmaat D
19 M. Haïdara D
18 C. Mbemba D
5 G. Wijnaldum M
7 M. Sissoko M
8 V. Anita M
4 J. Colback M
20 F. Thauvin M
9 P. Cissé F
Bench (7)
10 S. de Jong
17 Ayoze Pérez
16 R. Aarons
11 Y. Gouffran
14 G. Obertan
15 J. Lascelles
26 K. Darlow

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Anthony Taylor · 162 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
18,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.