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Serie A
Referee: Angelo Cervellera
Sampdoria
S U
2–0
Full-time
Bologna
T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sampdoria Bologna
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
2,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
5,5
2,0
Scored
3,5
0,5
Conceded
2,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,5
-1,0
This season — Serie A · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
2,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
5,5
2,0
Scored
3,5
0,5
Conceded
2,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,5
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

55% Possession 45%
12 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 5
2 Offside 0
0 Free kicks against 0
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Sampdoria 9. · Bologna 19. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Inter 3 3 0 0 +3 9
2 Chievo 3 2 1 0 +6 7
3 Torino 3 2 1 0 +3 7
4 Roma 3 2 1 0 +3 7
5 Sassuolo 3 2 1 0 +2 7
6 Palermo 3 2 1 0 +2 7
7 Fiorentina 3 2 0 1 +1 6
8 Lazio 3 2 0 1 -1 6
9 Sampdoria 2 1 1 0 +3 4
10 Atalanta 3 1 1 1 +1 4
11 Genoa 3 1 0 2 +0 3
12 Milan 3 1 0 2 -2 3
13 Udinese 3 1 0 2 -2 3
14 Napoli 3 0 2 1 -1 2
15 Verona 3 0 2 1 -2 2
16 Juventus 3 0 1 2 -2 1
17 Empoli 3 0 1 2 -3 1
18 Carpi 3 0 1 2 -4 1
19 Bologna 2 0 0 2 -2 0
20 Frosinone 3 0 0 3 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sampdoria Bologna
Vasco Regini 🟨
8′
11′
🟨 Saphir Taïder
Pedro Pereira 🔁
↦ M. Cassani
21′
28′
🔁 L. Rizzo
↦ E. Giaccherini
45′
🟨 Domenico Maietta
Half-time 0–0
51′
🟨 Luca Rizzo
57′
🔁 A. Diawara
↦ S. Taïder
62′
🟨 Luca Rizzo
62′
🟥 Luca Rizzo
65′
🟨 Luca Rossettini
J. Correa 🔁
↦ D. Ivan
65′
68′
🔁 E. Pulgar
↦ G. Donsah
1–0 Eder ⚽
L. Muriel
75′
2–0 R. Soriano ⚽
J. Correa
79′
Alejandro Rodriguez 🔁
↦ L. Muriel
82′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Sampdoria

2 E. Viviano G
5 M. Cassani D
26 M. Silvestre D
4 N. Moisander D
19 V. Regini D
8 É. Barreto M
21 R. Soriano M
7 Fernando M
95 D. Ivan M
23 Eder F
24 L. Muriel F
Bench (11)
13 Pedro Pereira
10 J. Correa
9 Alejandro Rodriguez
17 A. Palombo
11 F. Bonazzoli
57 A. Brignoli
18 L. Christodoulopoulos
20 N. Krstičić
77 C. Carbonero
92 M. Rocca
1 C. Puggioni

Bologna

83 A. Mirante G
13 L. Rossettini D
20 D. Maietta D
25 A. Masina D
24 A. Ferrari D
17 E. Giaccherini M
8 S. Taïder M
30 G. Donsah M
23 F. Brienza F
26 A. Mounier F
10 M. Destro F
Bench (12)
22 L. Rizzo
21 A. Diawara
5 E. Pulgar
2 M. Oikonomou
3 A. Morleo
18 R. Acquafresca
1 Angelo Da Costa
28 D. Gastaldello
11 M. Mancosu
15 I. M'baye
7 F. Falco
6 L. Crisetig

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Angelo Cervellera · 15 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
1,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.