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La Liga

Referee: Ignacio Iglesias Villanueva

Espanol

S T T S

1–0

Full-time

Valencia

U U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Espanol Valencia

Last 6 — all competitions · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 38%

50%

25%

Points per game

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

75%

Both score Ø 38%

50%

25%

Average goals

4,0

0,8

Scored

1,3

0,5

Conceded

2,8

0,3

Goal diff per game

-1,5

+0,3

This season — La Liga · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 38%

50%

25%

Points per game

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

75%

Both score Ø 38%

50%

25%

Average goals

4,0

0,8

Scored

1,3

0,5

Conceded

2,8

0,3

Goal diff per game

-1,5

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

48% Possession 52%

17 Shots 10

5 Shots on target 4

6 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

7 Corners 6

1 Offside 0

0 Free kicks against 0

5 Yellow cards 7

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Espanol 8. · Valencia 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	4	4	0	0	+6	12
2	Real Madrid	4	3	1	0	+12	10
3	Villarreal	4	3	1	0	+6	10
4	Celta	4	3	1	0	+5	10
5	Ath Madrid	4	3	0	1	+5	9
6	Eibar	4	2	1	1	+2	7
7	Valencia	4	1	3	0	+1	6
8	Espanol	4	2	0	2	-6	6
9	La Coruna	4	1	2	1	+1	5
10	Sp Gijon	4	1	2	1	+0	5
11	Betis	4	1	2	1	-4	5
12	Vallecano	4	1	1	2	-4	4
13	Ath Bilbao	4	1	0	3	-3	3
14	Getafe	4	1	0	3	-3	3
15	Granada	4	1	0	3	-4	3
16	Las Palmas	4	0	2	2	-2	2
17	Sociedad	4	0	2	2	-2	2
18	Malaga	4	0	2	2	-2	2
19	Levante	4	0	2	2	-4	2
20	Sevilla	4	0	2	2	-4	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Villarreal	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Barcelona	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Celta	2	1	1	0	+3	4
5	Betis	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Ath Bilbao	2	1	0	1	+1	3
7	Ath Madrid	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Eibar	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Getafe	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Espanol	2	1	0	1	-5	3
11	Valencia	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Malaga	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	La Coruna	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Levante	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Sociedad	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Sp Gijon	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Las Palmas	2	0	1	1	-1	1
18	Vallecano	2	0	1	1	-2	1
19	Granada	2	0	0	2	-4	0
20	Sevilla	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Celta	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Barcelona	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Real Madrid	2	1	1	0	+6	4
5	Villarreal	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	La Coruna	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Eibar	2	1	1	0	+2	4
8	Sp Gijon	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Valencia	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Granada	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Espanol	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Vallecano	2	1	0	1	-2	3
13	Sevilla	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Las Palmas	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Sociedad	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Levante	2	0	1	1	-3	1
17	Betis	2	0	1	1	-5	1
18	Malaga	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Getafe	2	0	0	2	-3	0
20	Ath Bilbao	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.