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Bundesliga

Referee: Knut Kircher

FC Ingolstadt 04

S T S U S

0–1

Full-time

Hamburg

T S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Ingolstadt 04 Hamburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 50%

60%

40%

Points per game

2,0

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

20%

80%

Both score Ø 20%

40%

Average goals

1,4

3,2

Scored

0,6

1,4

Conceded

0,8

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,4

This season — Bundesliga · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 50%

60%

40%

Points per game

2,0

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

20%

80%

Both score Ø 20%

40%

Average goals

1,4

3,2

Scored

0,6

1,4

Conceded

0,8

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

46% Possession 54%

12 Shots 8

2 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

8 Corners 5

3 Offside 0

0 Free kicks against 0

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match FC Ingolstadt 04 6. · Hamburg 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	5	5	0	0	+15	15
2	Bayern Munich	5	5	0	0	+13	15
3	Wolfsburg	5	3	2	0	+6	11
4	Schalke 04	5	3	1	1	+2	10
5	FC Koln	5	3	1	1	+0	10
6	FC Ingolstadt 04	5	3	1	1	-1	10
7	Mainz	5	3	0	2	+4	9
8	Ein Frankfurt	5	2	2	1	+6	8
9	Werder Bremen	5	2	1	2	-1	7
10	Hamburg	5	2	1	2	-2	7
11	Hertha	5	2	1	2	-2	7
12	Darmstadt	5	1	3	1	-2	6
13	Leverkusen	5	2	0	3	-5	6
14	Augsburg	5	1	1	3	-1	4
15	Hoffenheim	5	0	1	4	-6	1
16	Hannover	5	0	1	4	-8	1
17	Stuttgart	5	0	0	5	-8	0
18	M'gladbach	5	0	0	5	-10	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	3	3	0	0	+9	9
2	Dortmund	3	3	0	0	+9	9
3	Wolfsburg	3	3	0	0	+6	9
4	FC Koln	3	2	1	0	+2	7
5	Mainz	3	2	0	1	+4	6
6	Ein Frankfurt	2	1	1	0	+4	4
7	Hertha	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Schalke 04	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Hamburg	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Leverkusen	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Augsburg	3	1	0	2	+0	3
12	Werder Bremen	3	1	0	2	-3	3
13	Darmstadt	3	0	2	1	-3	2
14	FC Ingolstadt 04	2	0	1	1	-4	1
15	Hannover	2	0	0	2	-3	0
16	Hoffenheim	2	0	0	2	-3	0
17	M'gladbach	2	0	0	2	-4	0
18	Stuttgart	3	0	0	3	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	FC Ingolstadt 04	3	3	0	0	+3	9
2	Dortmund	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	Bayern Munich	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Schalke 04	3	2	0	1	+1	6
5	Ein Frankfurt	3	1	1	1	+2	4
6	Werder Bremen	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Darmstadt	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Mainz	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	FC Koln	2	1	0	1	-2	3
10	Hamburg	3	1	0	2	-3	3
11	Hertha	3	1	0	2	-3	3
12	Leverkusen	3	1	0	2	-5	3
13	Wolfsburg	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Augsburg	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Hoffenheim	3	0	1	2	-3	1
16	Hannover	3	0	1	2	-5	1
17	Stuttgart	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	M'gladbach	3	0	0	3	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.