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Serie A

Referee: Daniele Doveri

Udinese

S T T T

2–3

Full-time

Milan

T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Udinese Milan

Last 6 — all competitions · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 38%

25%

50%

Points per game

0,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

25%

50%

Both score Ø 38%

25%

50%

Average goals

1,8

2,8

Scored

0,5

1,3

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,3

This season — Serie A · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 38%

25%

50%

Points per game

0,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

25%

50%

Both score Ø 38%

25%

50%

Average goals

1,8

2,8

Scored

0,5

1,3

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

47% Possession 53%

11 Shots 9

3 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

7 Corners 1

0 Free kicks against 0

6 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Udinese 18. · Milan 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	4	4	0	0	+4	12
2	Torino	4	3	1	0	+5	10
3	Fiorentina	4	3	0	1	+2	9
4	Roma	4	2	2	0	+3	8
5	Sassuolo	4	2	2	0	+2	8
6	Chievo	4	2	1	1	+5	7
7	Sampdoria	4	2	1	1	+3	7
8	Palermo	4	2	1	1	+1	7
9	Milan	4	2	0	2	-1	6
10	Lazio	4	2	0	2	-6	6
11	Napoli	4	1	2	1	+4	5
12	Atalanta	4	1	2	1	+1	5
13	Juventus	4	1	1	2	+0	4
14	Empoli	4	1	1	2	-2	4
15	Verona	4	0	3	1	-2	3
16	Genoa	4	1	0	3	-2	3
17	Bologna	4	1	0	3	-3	3
18	Udinese	4	1	0	3	-3	3
19	Carpi	4	0	1	3	-5	1
20	Frosinone	4	0	0	4	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sampdoria	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Torino	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Lazio	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Fiorentina	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Milan	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Inter	2	2	0	0	+2	6
7	Napoli	2	1	1	0	+5	4
8	Atalanta	2	1	1	0	+2	4
9	Sassuolo	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Roma	2	1	1	0	+1	4
11	Palermo	2	1	1	0	+1	4
12	Chievo	2	1	0	1	+3	3
13	Genoa	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Bologna	2	1	0	1	+0	3
15	Verona	2	0	2	0	+0	2
16	Juventus	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Empoli	2	0	1	1	-2	1
18	Udinese	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Carpi	2	0	0	2	-2	0
20	Frosinone	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	2	2	0	0	+2	6
2	Chievo	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Roma	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Torino	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Sassuolo	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Juventus	2	1	0	1	+1	3
7	Empoli	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Palermo	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Fiorentina	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	Udinese	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Napoli	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Atalanta	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Sampdoria	2	0	1	1	-2	1
14	Verona	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Carpi	2	0	1	1	-3	1
16	Genoa	2	0	0	2	-2	0
17	Bologna	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Milan	2	0	0	2	-3	0
19	Frosinone	2	0	0	2	-3	0
20	Lazio	2	0	0	2	-9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.