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La Liga

Referee: Ignacio Iglesias Villanueva

Ath Bilbao

T T U S U

3–0

Full-time

Sp Gijon

S T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Bilbao Sp Gijon

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 83%

83%

Average goals

3,2

3,5

Scored

1,7

Conceded

1,5

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,2

This season — La Liga · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 25%

25%

Points per game

1,0

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

63%

Both score Ø 63%

63%

Average goals

2,8

2,6

Scored

1,3

Conceded

1,5

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

51% Possession 49%

20 Shots 6

6 Shots on target 0

2 Blocked shots 2

0 Goalkeeper saves 3

9 Corners 3

1 Offside 3

0 Free kicks against 0

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ath Bilbao 17. · Sp Gijon 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	9	6	3	0	+18	21
2	Barcelona	9	7	0	2	+8	21
3	Ath Madrid	9	6	1	2	+9	19
4	Celta	9	5	3	1	+7	18
5	Villarreal	9	5	2	2	+6	17
6	La Coruna	9	3	4	2	+3	13
7	Eibar	9	3	4	2	+2	13
8	Sevilla	9	3	3	3	+1	12
9	Valencia	9	3	3	3	+1	12
10	Betis	9	3	3	3	-4	12
11	Espanol	9	4	0	5	-10	12
12	Getafe	9	3	1	5	-3	10
13	Vallecano	9	3	1	5	-6	10
14	Sociedad	9	2	3	4	+1	9
15	Sp Gijon	8	2	3	3	-1	9
16	Malaga	9	2	3	4	-2	9
17	Ath Bilbao	8	2	2	4	-2	8
18	Las Palmas	9	1	3	5	-7	6
19	Granada	9	1	3	5	-8	6
20	Levante	9	1	3	5	-13	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	5	5	0	0	+10	15
2	Real Madrid	4	3	1	0	+9	10
3	Ath Madrid	5	3	1	1	+3	10
4	Getafe	4	3	0	1	+7	9
5	Villarreal	4	3	0	1	+4	9
6	Sevilla	5	3	0	2	+3	9
7	Celta	5	2	2	1	+4	8
8	Valencia	4	2	2	0	+4	8
9	Malaga	5	2	2	1	+3	8
10	Vallecano	5	2	1	2	+0	7
11	Ath Bilbao	4	2	0	2	+2	6
12	Espanol	4	2	0	2	-5	6
13	La Coruna	4	1	2	1	+2	5
14	Eibar	4	1	2	1	+0	5
15	Las Palmas	5	1	2	2	-1	5
16	Levante	5	1	2	2	-4	5
17	Betis	4	1	1	2	-2	4
18	Sp Gijon	4	0	2	2	-2	2
19	Sociedad	4	0	2	2	-3	2
20	Granada	5	0	2	3	-7	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	5	3	2	0	+9	11
2	Celta	4	3	1	0	+3	10
3	Ath Madrid	4	3	0	1	+6	9
4	Eibar	5	2	2	1	+2	8
5	Villarreal	5	2	2	1	+2	8
6	La Coruna	5	2	2	1	+1	8
7	Betis	5	2	2	1	-2	8
8	Sociedad	5	2	1	2	+4	7
9	Sp Gijon	4	2	1	1	+1	7
10	Barcelona	4	2	0	2	-2	6
11	Espanol	5	2	0	3	-5	6
12	Granada	4	1	1	2	-1	4
13	Valencia	5	1	1	3	-3	4
14	Sevilla	4	0	3	1	-2	3
15	Vallecano	4	1	0	3	-6	3
16	Ath Bilbao	4	0	2	2	-4	2
17	Malaga	4	0	1	3	-5	1
18	Las Palmas	4	0	1	3	-6	1
19	Levante	4	0	1	3	-9	1
20	Getafe	5	0	1	4	-10	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.