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La Liga
Referee: Eduardo Prieto Iglesias
La Coruna
U U S
2–3
Full-time
Sp Gijon
U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

La Coruna Sp Gijon
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
33%
0%
Both score Ø 34%
67%
0%
Average goals
2,0
0,3
Scored
1,3
0,0
Conceded
0,7
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,3
This season — La Liga · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
33%
0%
Both score Ø 34%
67%
0%
Average goals
2,0
0,3
Scored
1,3
0,0
Conceded
0,7
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–3

62% Possession 38%
19 Shots 4
9 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 7
8 Corners 3
1 Offside 2
0 Free kicks against 0
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match La Coruna 9. · Sp Gijon 16. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 4 3 1 0 +12 10
2 Celta 4 3 1 0 +5 10
3 Ath Madrid 4 3 0 1 +5 9
4 Barcelona 3 3 0 0 +3 9
5 Villarreal 3 2 1 0 +4 7
6 Eibar 4 2 1 1 +2 7
7 Valencia 4 1 3 0 +1 6
8 Espanol 4 2 0 2 -6 6
9 La Coruna 3 1 2 0 +2 5
10 Betis 4 1 2 1 -4 5
11 Ath Bilbao 3 1 0 2 -1 3
12 Getafe 4 1 0 3 -3 3
13 Granada 4 1 0 3 -4 3
14 Las Palmas 3 0 2 1 -1 2
15 Levante 3 0 2 1 -1 2
16 Sp Gijon 3 0 2 1 -1 2
17 Sociedad 4 0 2 2 -2 2
18 Malaga 4 0 2 2 -2 2
19 Sevilla 4 0 2 2 -4 2
20 Vallecano 3 0 1 2 -5 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

La Coruna Sp Gijon
4′
⚽ A. Sanabria 0–1
Lora
8′
⚽ A. Sanabria 0–2
Lora
1–2 Juanfran ⚽
Lucas Pérez
16′
2–2 Luis Alberto ⚽
Pedro Mosquera
28′
34′
⚽ Álex Menéndez 2–3
A. Halilović
Half-time 2–3
61′
🟨 Nacho Cases
Luisinho 🔁
↦ Fernando Navarro
62′
Jonathan Rodríguez 🔁
↦ Juanfran
62′
67′
🔁 Carlos Carmona
↦ A. Halilović
70′
🟨 Carlos Carmona
Fayçal Fajr 🟨
73′
77′
🟨 Antonio Sanabria
78′
🔁 Pablo Pérez
↦ Guerrero
F. Cartabia 🔁
↦ F. Fajr
82′
83′
🔁 Omar Mascarell
↦ Nacho Cases
Sidnei 🟨
85′
Luisinho 🟨
90′
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

La Coruna

1 G. Lux G
3 Fernando Navarro D
12 Sidnei D
15 Laure D
14 Alejandro Arribas D
22 C. Borges M
5 Pedro Mosquera M
19 F. Fajr M
11 Juanfran D
21 Luis Alberto F
7 Lucas Pérez F
Bench (7)
16 Luisinho
20 Jonathan Rodríguez
17 F. Cartabia
4 Álex Bergantiños
10 Juan Domínguez
23 Lopo
25 Manu

Sp Gijon

13 Alberto García G
5 B. Espinosa D
15 Canella D
11 Lora D
2 Luis Hernández D
3 Álex Menéndez D
10 Nacho Cases M
6 Sergio Álvarez M
25 A. Halilović M
9 Guerrero F
20 A. Sanabria F
Bench (7)
19 Carlos Carmona
22 Pablo Pérez
17 Omar Mascarell
1 Pichu Cuéllar
16 Carlos Castro
23 Jony
28 Jorge Meré

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Eduardo Prieto Iglesias · 39 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
14,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.