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Eliteserien
Referee: K Hagenes
Valerenga
U S T U S
3–1
Full-time
Sandefjord
U U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valerenga Sandefjord
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,0
Scored
2,2
0,8
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,3
This season — Eliteserien · 5/3 matches
Win Ø 37%
40%
33%
Points per game
1,6
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 80%
60%
100%
Both score Ø 74%
80%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,3
Scored
1,8
1,3
Conceded
1,2
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,6
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

53% Possession 47%
14 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 0
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 6
0 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Valerenga 6. · Sandefjord 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 5 4 1 0 +8 13
2 Rosenborg 6 3 2 1 +6 11
3 Molde 6 3 2 1 +6 11
4 Viking 5 3 0 2 -1 9
5 Kristiansund 5 3 0 2 -1 9
6 Valerenga 5 2 2 1 +3 8
7 Mjondalen 4 1 2 1 +2 5
8 Stabaek 3 1 2 0 +2 5
9 Tromso 5 1 2 2 -4 5
10 Stromsgodset 3 1 1 1 +1 4
11 Sandefjord 3 1 0 2 -2 3
12 Lillestrom 3 1 0 2 -3 3
13 Odd 3 0 2 1 -1 2
14 Sarpsborg 08 3 0 2 1 -1 2
15 Haugesund 3 0 2 1 -2 2
16 Brann 6 0 0 6 -13 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Valerenga Sandefjord
28′
🟨 Sander Moen Foss
H. Udahl 🔁
↦ V. Kjartansson
34′
1–0 J. Nation
C. Borchgrevink
39′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 A. Layouni
H. Udahl
61′
Aron Dønnum 🟨
64′
64′
🟨 Marc Vales
66′
🔁 F. Nyenetue
↦ V. Jónsson
66′
🔁 Enric Vallès
↦ E. Brenden
67′
S. Foss 2–1
Enric Vallès
3–1 A. Dønnum
70′
F. Myhre 🔁
↦ A. Dønnum
75′
S. Jatta 🔁
↦ A. Layouni
85′
89′
🔁 Zé Eduardo
↦ A. Ordagić
89′
🔁 M. Kreuzriegler
↦ M. Haakenstad
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Valerenga

4-3-3
13 K. Klaesson G
4 J. Nation D
25 S. Adekugbe D
2 C. Borchgrevink D
3 B. Skaret D
7 F. Jensen M
8 H. Bjørdal M
9 V. Kjartansson F
11 A. Layouni F
10 A. Dønnum F
17 T. Christensen M
Bench (8)
14 H. Udahl
23 F. Myhre
19 S. Jatta
1 K. Haug
16 M. Emilsen
18 F. Holmé
6 S. Opsahl
29 O. Opsahl

Coach: D. Fagermo

Sandefjord

4-3-3
1 J. Storevik G
3 Marc Vales D
23 V. Jónsson F
12 M. Haakenstad D
2 B. Wembangomo D
17 S. Foss D
24 H. Singh M
11 K. Hansen F
15 E. Brenden M
19 A. Ordagić M
14 A. Tveter F
Bench (9)
20 F. Nyenetue
4 Enric Vallès
8 Zé Eduardo
5 M. Kreuzriegler
21 P. Johansen
40 V. Walle Egeli
92 F. Due
29 J. Fjeldskår
25 H. Falchener

Coach: H. Ødegaard

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

K Hagenes · 99 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.