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Eliteserien
Referee: K Steen
Lillestrom
U T T S T
2–1
Full-time
Haugesund
S U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lillestrom Haugesund
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,3
This season — Eliteserien · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 25%
25%
25%
Points per game
0,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
50%
25%
Both score Ø 38%
50%
25%
Average goals
2,5
2,0
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
1,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

48% Possession 52%
21 Shots 7
10 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 8
14 Corners 3
0 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Lillestrom 14. · Haugesund 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Kristiansund 7 5 0 2 +2 15
2 Rosenborg 7 4 2 1 +8 14
3 Molde 7 4 2 1 +8 14
4 Bodo/Glimt 6 4 1 1 +7 13
5 Valerenga 6 3 2 1 +5 11
6 Viking 6 3 0 3 -3 9
7 Mjondalen 4 1 2 1 +2 5
8 Sarpsborg 08 4 1 2 1 +1 5
9 Stabaek 4 1 2 1 +0 5
10 Haugesund 4 1 2 1 +0 5
11 Odd 5 1 2 2 -2 5
12 Tromso 6 1 2 3 -6 5
13 Stromsgodset 4 1 1 2 -2 4
14 Lillestrom 4 1 0 3 -4 3
15 Sandefjord 5 1 0 4 -6 3
16 Brann 7 1 0 6 -10 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lillestrom Haugesund
21′
S. Liseth 0–1
1–1 T. Olsen
K. Kairinen
24′
26′
🟨 Peter Therkildsen
43′
🟨 Alexander Stolaas
2–1 T. Olsen
43′
Half-time 2–1
71′
🔁 A. Ndour
↦ K. Krygård
71′
🔁 U. Fredriksen
↦ A. Stølås
P. Helland 🔁
↦ U. Mathisen
74′
78′
🟥 Alioune Ndour
Ifeanyi Mathew 🟨
79′
Pål André Helland 🟨
87′
87′
🔁 K. Gunnarshaug
↦ K. Velde
D. Gustafsson 🔁
↦ T. Olsen
89′
90′
🟨 Mads Berg Sande
90′
🔁 M. Sande
↦ S. Liseth
F. Krogstad 🔁
↦ K. Kairinen
92′
Espen Bjornsen Garnas 🟨
96′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Lillestrom

3-4-3
12 M. Christiansen G
4 E. Garnås D
5 V. Dragsnes M
26 L. Ranger M
30 I. Ogbu D
22 P. Slørdahl D
23 G. Åsen F
6 K. Kairinen M
8 I. Mathew M
18 U. Mathisen F
10 T. Olsen F
Bench (9)
7 P. Helland
90 D. Gustafsson
14 F. Krogstad
9 K. Eriksen
17 J. Braut-Brunes
25 E. Edh
11 T. Svendsen
1 Á. Craninx
15 J. Baccay

Coach: G. Bakke

Haugesund

4-2-3-1
12 E. Selvik G
19 M. Desler D
5 B. Tiedemann D
4 F. Knudsen D
22 A. Stølås D
10 N. Sandberg M
7 P. Therkildsen M
11 K. Velde M
17 I. Wadji F
8 K. Krygård M
9 S. Liseth M
Bench (6)
25 A. Ndour
15 U. Fredriksen
18 K. Gunnarshaug
27 M. Sande
32 F. Stople
39 M. Tjoland

Coach: J. Grindhaug

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

K Steen · 47 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
19,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.