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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: O Ekeli Valen
Lillestrom
U T S S U
1–1
Full-time
Grorud
T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lillestrom Grorud
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
0%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,5
4,0
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
0,5
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,3
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 43%
55%
31%
Points per game
1,9
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
41%
66%
Both score Ø 59%
45%
72%
Average goals
2,5
3,4
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
0,9
1,9
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Lillestrom 2. · Grorud 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Tromso 29 18 6 5 +28 60
2 Lillestrom 29 16 8 5 +23 56
3 Sogndal 28 14 5 9 +17 47
4 Asane 27 12 8 7 +15 44
5 Ranheim 27 12 7 8 +22 43
6 Sandnes ULF 29 11 7 11 -9 40
7 KFUM Oslo 29 10 9 10 +1 39
8 Strommen 29 10 8 11 -1 38
9 Raufoss 28 9 10 9 +7 37
10 Ham-Kam 29 9 9 11 -5 36
11 Ull/Kisa 29 10 5 14 -15 35
12 Jerv 29 9 7 13 -16 34
13 Grorud 29 9 6 14 -11 33
14 Stjørdals-Blink 29 8 8 13 -7 32
15 Øygarden 29 6 9 14 -28 27
16 Kongsvinger 29 5 10 14 -21 25

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

3. Jul -20 Grorud – Lillestrom 0–1

Match report

Lillestrom Grorud
7′
🟨 G. Meyer
19′
🟨 M. Hoyland
E. B. Garnas 🟨
21′
Half-time 0–0
M. Knudsen 🔁
↦ U. Mathisen
46′
69′
🟨 P. Mankowitz
P. Slordahl 🟨
69′
A. Melgalvis 🔁
↦ L. Ranger
74′
D. Gustafsson 🔁
↦ T. Svendsen
74′
76′
🔁 A. Guðjónsson
↦ G. Meyer
76′
🔁 N. Hristov
↦ S. Osestad
80′
O. Aga 0–1
S. Rafn 🟨
81′
F. Kippe 🔁
↦ S. Rafn
89′
89′
🔁 J. Pereira
↦ P. Mankowitz
89′
🔁 K. Novak
↦ O. Aga
J. Brunes 🔁
↦ T. Haraldsson
90′
93′
🔁 T. Murray
↦ K. Mankowitz
1–1 P. Slørdahl
95′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Lillestrom

25 J. Coppens
5 S. Rafn
4 E. Garnås
26 L. Ranger
22 P. Slørdahl
6 K. Kairinen
11 T. Svendsen
8 I. Mathew
9 T. Haraldsson
18 U. Mathisen
10 T. Olsen
Bench (9)
21 M. Knudsen
33 A. Melgalvis
90 D. Gustafsson
13 F. Kippe
20 J. Brunes
12 M. Christiansen
14 F. Krogstad
23 M. Amundsen
35 E. Smidesang Edh

Coach: G. Bakke

Grorud

1 E. Ødegaard
21 G. Meyer
32 L. Cornic
5 G. Harviken
15 F. Ness
11 K. Mankowitz
6 M. Høyland
25 S. Osestad
7 P. Mankowitz
28 T. Elsebutangen
19 O. Aga
Bench (9)
4 A. Guðjónsson
14 N. Hristov
8 J. Pereira
24 K. Novak
3 T. Murray
12 M. Viken
16 V. Skåttun
26 C. Zafeiris
31 O. Drammeh

Coach: E. Kjönö

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.