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Eliteserien
Referee: Ola Hobber Nilsen
Lillestrom
S U S T T
1–0
Full-time
Haugesund
S T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lillestrom Haugesund
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,7
This season — Eliteserien · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 38%
25%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
25%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,0
3,0
Scored
0,8
2,0
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

54% Possession 46%
9 Shots 22
4 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 9
6 Goalkeeper saves 3
1 Corners 10
0 Offside 5
15 Free kicks against 13
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lillestrom 11. · Haugesund 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Molde 5 3 1 1 +7 10
2 Bodo/Glimt 4 3 1 0 +4 10
3 Odd 4 3 1 0 +4 10
4 Viking 4 3 0 1 +4 9
5 Haugesund 4 2 1 1 +4 7
6 Sarpsborg 08 5 1 4 0 +1 7
7 Valerenga 5 2 1 2 +0 7
8 Stromsgodset 4 1 2 1 +0 5
9 Brann 5 1 2 2 -1 5
10 Mjondalen 5 1 2 2 -2 5
11 Lillestrom 4 1 1 2 -2 4
12 Kristiansund 5 1 1 3 -3 4
13 Tromso 4 1 1 2 -4 4
14 Stabaek 4 1 1 2 -4 4
15 Rosenborg 4 0 2 2 -4 2
16 Ranheim 4 0 1 3 -4 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lillestrom Haugesund
Sheriff Sinyan 🔁
↦ Daniel Alexander Pedersen
38′
Half-time 0–0
Aleksander Melgalvis 🔁
↦ Daniel Gustavsson
72′
1–0 Kristoffer Odemarksbakken
Aleksander Melgalvis
76′
78′
🔁 Martin Samuelsen
↦ Christian Grindheim
78′
🔁 Kristoffer Velde
↦ Thore Baardsen Pedersen
Raphael Ayagwa 🔁
↦ Erik Brenden
89′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Lillestrom

4-4-2
1 Marko Maric G
2 Mats Haakenstad D
4 Tobias Salquist D
13 Frode Kippe D
5 Simen Rafn D
7 Daniel Gustavsson D
21 Alex Dyer M
23 Daniel Alexander Pedersen M
15 Erik Brenden M
17 Kristoffer Odemarksbakken M
10 Thomas Lehne Olsen F
Bench (7)
25 Matvei Igonen
12 Raphael Ayagwa
14 Fredrik Krogstad
33 Aleksander Melgalvis
19 Sheriff Sinyan
28 Magnus Knudsen
27 Josef Baccay

Coach: J. Lennartsson

Haugesund

4-4-1-1
12 Helge Sandvik G
19 Mikkel Desler M
2 Douglas Bergqvist D
5 Benjamin Hansen D
22 Alexander Stolaas D
14 Torbjorn Kallevag M
8 Sondre Trondstad M
6 Joakim Vaage Nilsen M
23 Thore Baardsen Pedersen M
7 Christian Grindheim F
17 Ibrahima Wadji F
Bench (7)
1 Maciej Gostomski
4 Fredrik Knudsen
11 Martin Samuelsen
16 Bruno Leite
33 Kristoffer Velde
20 Ibrahima Kone
34 Kevin Martin Krygard

Coach: J. Grindhaug

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Ola Hobber Nilsen · 129 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.