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La Liga

Referee: Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea

Valencia

S T T U S

2–1

Full-time

Real Madrid

T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valencia Real Madrid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

50%

83%

Points per game

1,7

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,5

3,3

Scored

1,2

2,7

Conceded

1,3

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+2,0

This season — La Liga · 22/21 matches

Win Ø 52%

27%

76%

Points per game

1,0

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 72%

68%

76%

Both score Ø 70%

73%

67%

Average goals

3,2

3,5

Scored

1,4

2,7

Conceded

1,8

0,9

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+1,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

28% Possession 72%

8 Shots 22

5 Shots on target 5

1 Blocked shots 9

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 11

2 Offside 5

13 Free kicks against 18

5 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Valencia 15. · Real Madrid 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	21	16	4	1	+38	52
2	Barcelona	23	15	6	2	+44	51
3	Sevilla	23	15	4	4	+18	49
4	Ath Madrid	23	13	6	4	+24	45
5	Sociedad	23	13	2	8	+4	41
6	Villarreal	23	10	9	4	+15	39
7	Eibar	23	10	5	8	+5	35
8	Ath Bilbao	23	10	5	8	+0	35
9	Celta	22	10	3	9	+0	33
10	Espanol	23	8	8	7	-1	32
11	Alaves	23	7	9	7	-6	30
12	Las Palmas	23	7	7	9	-3	28
13	Malaga	23	6	8	9	-6	26
14	Betis	22	6	6	10	-13	24
15	Valencia	22	6	5	11	-9	23
16	La Coruna	22	4	7	11	-9	19
17	Leganes	23	4	6	13	-23	18
18	Sp Gijon	23	4	4	15	-22	16
19	Granada	23	3	7	13	-28	16
20	Osasuna	23	1	7	15	-28	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	12	10	2	0	+21	32
2	Sevilla	11	9	1	1	+12	28
3	Ath Bilbao	12	8	3	1	+9	27
4	Ath Madrid	11	8	2	1	+16	26
5	Barcelona	11	7	3	1	+20	24
6	Villarreal	12	7	3	2	+12	24
7	Celta	11	8	0	3	+6	24
8	Las Palmas	12	6	5	1	+10	23
9	Eibar	12	7	2	3	+6	23
10	Sociedad	12	7	2	3	+4	23
11	Malaga	11	6	2	3	+4	20
12	Betis	12	4	6	2	+0	18
13	Espanol	12	4	5	3	+3	17
14	La Coruna	10	4	2	4	+4	14
15	Granada	11	3	4	4	+0	13
16	Alaves	11	2	6	3	-7	12
17	Valencia	10	3	2	5	-6	11
18	Sp Gijon	11	3	1	7	-12	10
19	Leganes	11	1	4	6	-10	7
20	Osasuna	12	0	4	8	-14	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	12	8	3	1	+24	27
2	Sevilla	12	6	3	3	+6	21
3	Real Madrid	9	6	2	1	+17	20
4	Ath Madrid	12	5	4	3	+8	19
5	Alaves	12	5	3	4	+1	18
6	Sociedad	11	6	0	5	+0	18
7	Villarreal	11	3	6	2	+3	15
8	Espanol	11	4	3	4	-4	15
9	Eibar	11	3	3	5	-1	12
10	Valencia	12	3	3	6	-3	12
11	Leganes	12	3	2	7	-13	11
12	Celta	11	2	3	6	-6	9
13	Ath Bilbao	11	2	2	7	-9	8
14	Malaga	12	0	6	6	-10	6
15	Sp Gijon	12	1	3	8	-10	6
16	Betis	10	2	0	8	-13	6
17	Osasuna	11	1	3	7	-14	6
18	La Coruna	12	0	5	7	-13	5
19	Las Palmas	11	1	2	8	-13	5
20	Granada	12	0	3	9	-28	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.