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La Liga

Referee: David Fernandez Borbalan

Valencia

S S T T U

2–0

Full-time

Ath Bilbao

U U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valencia Ath Bilbao

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,2

2,2

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

1,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,2

This season — La Liga · 21/22 matches

Win Ø 35%

24%

45%

Points per game

1,0

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 68%

71%

64%

Both score Ø 70%

76%

64%

Average goals

3,3

2,5

Scored

1,4

1,3

Conceded

1,9

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

57% Possession 43%

15 Shots 15

5 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 6

5 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 1

6 Offside 2

18 Free kicks against 11

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Valencia 15. · Ath Bilbao 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	21	16	4	1	+38	52
2	Sevilla	23	15	4	4	+18	49
3	Barcelona	22	14	6	2	+43	48
4	Ath Madrid	23	13	6	4	+24	45
5	Sociedad	23	13	2	8	+4	41
6	Villarreal	23	10	9	4	+15	39
7	Eibar	23	10	5	8	+5	35
8	Ath Bilbao	22	10	5	7	+2	35
9	Espanol	23	8	8	7	-1	32
10	Celta	21	9	3	9	-3	30
11	Alaves	23	7	9	7	-6	30
12	Las Palmas	22	7	7	8	-2	28
13	Betis	22	6	6	10	-13	24
14	Malaga	22	5	8	9	-7	23
15	Valencia	21	5	5	11	-11	20
16	La Coruna	22	4	7	11	-9	19
17	Leganes	22	4	6	12	-22	18
18	Sp Gijon	23	4	4	15	-22	16
19	Granada	23	3	7	13	-28	16
20	Osasuna	22	1	7	14	-25	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	12	10	2	0	+21	32
2	Sevilla	11	9	1	1	+12	28
3	Ath Bilbao	12	8	3	1	+9	27
4	Ath Madrid	11	8	2	1	+16	26
5	Villarreal	12	7	3	2	+12	24
6	Las Palmas	12	6	5	1	+10	23
7	Eibar	12	7	2	3	+6	23
8	Sociedad	12	7	2	3	+4	23
9	Barcelona	10	6	3	1	+19	21
10	Celta	10	7	0	3	+3	21
11	Betis	12	4	6	2	+0	18
12	Espanol	12	4	5	3	+3	17
13	Malaga	10	5	2	3	+3	17
14	La Coruna	10	4	2	4	+4	14
15	Granada	11	3	4	4	+0	13
16	Alaves	11	2	6	3	-7	12
17	Sp Gijon	11	3	1	7	-12	10
18	Valencia	9	2	2	5	-8	8
19	Leganes	11	1	4	6	-10	7
20	Osasuna	12	0	4	8	-14	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	12	8	3	1	+24	27
2	Sevilla	12	6	3	3	+6	21
3	Real Madrid	9	6	2	1	+17	20
4	Ath Madrid	12	5	4	3	+8	19
5	Alaves	12	5	3	4	+1	18
6	Sociedad	11	6	0	5	+0	18
7	Villarreal	11	3	6	2	+3	15
8	Espanol	11	4	3	4	-4	15
9	Eibar	11	3	3	5	-1	12
10	Valencia	12	3	3	6	-3	12
11	Leganes	11	3	2	6	-12	11
12	Celta	11	2	3	6	-6	9
13	Ath Bilbao	10	2	2	6	-7	8
14	Malaga	12	0	6	6	-10	6
15	Sp Gijon	12	1	3	8	-10	6
16	Osasuna	10	1	3	6	-11	6
17	Betis	10	2	0	8	-13	6
18	Las Palmas	10	1	2	7	-12	5
19	La Coruna	12	0	5	7	-13	5
20	Granada	12	0	3	9	-28	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.