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La Liga
Referee: Ignacio Iglesias Villanueva
Eibar
U T U U S
3–1
Full-time
Las Palmas
U S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eibar Las Palmas
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,5
4,3
Scored
1,8
2,2
Conceded
1,7
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,0
This season — La Liga · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 36%
41%
31%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
59%
55%
Both score Ø 62%
62%
62%
Average goals
3,0
3,2
Scored
1,6
1,6
Conceded
1,4
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

46% Possession 54%
11 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
9 Corners 2
4 Offside 5
14 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Eibar 8. · Las Palmas 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 29 22 5 2 +48 71
2 Barcelona 30 21 6 3 +62 69
3 Ath Madrid 30 18 7 5 +32 61
4 Sevilla 30 17 7 6 +15 58
5 Villarreal 30 14 9 7 +19 51
6 Ath Bilbao 30 15 5 10 +6 50
7 Sociedad 30 15 4 11 +2 49
8 Eibar 29 12 8 9 +6 44
9 Espanol 30 11 10 9 +0 43
10 Celta 28 12 5 11 -3 41
11 Alaves 30 10 10 10 -8 40
12 Las Palmas 29 9 8 12 -3 35
13 Valencia 29 9 6 14 -10 33
14 Betis 30 8 7 15 -15 31
15 Malaga 30 7 9 14 -13 30
16 La Coruna 30 6 10 14 -15 28
17 Leganes 30 6 9 15 -21 27
18 Sp Gijon 30 5 7 18 -27 22
19 Granada 30 4 8 18 -36 20
20 Osasuna 30 2 8 20 -39 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Eibar Las Palmas
8′
🟨 Marko Livaja
1–0 Bebé
Luna
14′
1–1 Aythami Artiles
own goal
24′
Half-time 1–1
54′
🟨 Hélder Lopes
Florian Lejeune 🟨
61′
Christian Rivera 🔁
↦ G. Escalante
61′
62′
M. Lemos 1–2
64′
🟨 David Simón
65′
🟨 Roque Mesa
2–2 Adrián
66′
72′
🔁 K. Boateng
↦ Jonathan Viera
Dani García 🟨
74′
78′
🔁 Jesé
↦ M. Livaja
Sergi Enrich 🔁
↦ Kike
82′
86′
🔁 Hernán
↦ Roque Mesa
Rubén Peña 🔁
↦ Pedro León
88′
90′
🟨 Jesé Rodríguez
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Eibar

4-2-3-1
1 Yoel G
4 Ramis D
20 F. Lejeune D
19 Luna D
7 Ander Capa D
21 Pedro León M
24 Adrián M
14 Dani García M
5 G. Escalante M
17 Kike F
25 Bebé F
Bench (7)
6 Christian Rivera
9 Sergi Enrich
11 Rubén Peña
3 Alejandro Gálvez
13 Asier Riesgo
15 M. Dos Santos
23 Juncà

Coach: Mendilibar

Las Palmas

4-1-4-1
1 Raúl Lizoáin G
16 Aythami Artiles
22 Hélder Lopes D
2 David Simón D
3 M. Lemos D
11 Momo M
6 Montoro M
21 Jonathan Viera M
15 Roque Mesa M
20 A. Halilović M
9 M. Livaja F
Bench (7)
7 K. Boateng
10 Jesé
14 Hernán
5 David García
13 Javi Varas
23 Dani Castellano
24 Tana

Coach: Quique Setién

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Ignacio Iglesias Villanueva · 79 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.