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La Liga

Referee: David Fernandez Borbalan

Real Madrid

S S S T S

3–3

Full-time

Las Palmas

S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Real Madrid Las Palmas

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

83%

17%

Points per game

2,5

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,3

2,0

Scored

2,3

0,8

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-0,3

This season — La Liga · 23/24 matches

Win Ø 52%

74%

29%

Points per game

2,4

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

78%

50%

Both score Ø 64%

70%

58%

Average goals

3,6

2,8

Scored

2,6

1,3

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,7

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

43% Possession 57%

20 Shots 17

7 Shots on target 8

3 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

7 Corners 4

8 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 16

5 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Real Madrid 2. · Las Palmas 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	25	17	6	2	+50	57
2	Real Madrid	23	17	4	2	+38	55
3	Sevilla	24	16	4	4	+19	52
4	Ath Madrid	24	13	6	5	+23	45
5	Sociedad	25	14	3	8	+5	45
6	Villarreal	25	11	9	5	+17	42
7	Eibar	25	11	6	8	+8	39
8	Ath Bilbao	24	11	5	8	+2	38
9	Espanol	24	9	8	7	+2	35
10	Celta	23	10	4	9	+0	34
11	Alaves	24	8	9	7	-5	33
12	Valencia	25	8	5	12	-8	29
13	Las Palmas	24	7	7	10	-4	28
14	Betis	24	7	6	11	-13	27
15	Malaga	25	6	8	11	-10	26
16	Leganes	25	5	6	14	-20	21
17	La Coruna	23	4	7	12	-13	19
18	Sp Gijon	25	4	5	16	-27	17
19	Granada	24	3	7	14	-30	16
20	Osasuna	25	1	7	17	-34	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	12	10	2	0	+21	32
2	Ath Bilbao	13	9	3	1	+11	30
3	Sevilla	11	9	1	1	+12	28
4	Barcelona	12	8	3	1	+25	27
5	Ath Madrid	12	8	2	2	+15	26
6	Eibar	13	8	2	3	+9	26
7	Villarreal	13	7	3	3	+11	24
8	Celta	11	8	0	3	+6	24
9	Sociedad	13	7	3	3	+4	24
10	Las Palmas	13	6	5	2	+9	23
11	Espanol	13	5	5	3	+6	20
12	Malaga	12	6	2	4	+3	20
13	Betis	13	4	6	3	-1	18
14	Valencia	12	5	2	5	-4	17
15	Alaves	12	3	6	3	-6	15
16	La Coruna	10	4	2	4	+4	14
17	Granada	11	3	4	4	+0	13
18	Sp Gijon	12	3	2	7	-12	11
19	Leganes	12	2	4	6	-6	10
20	Osasuna	13	0	4	9	-17	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	13	9	3	1	+25	30
2	Sevilla	13	7	3	3	+7	24
3	Real Madrid	11	7	2	2	+17	23
4	Sociedad	12	7	0	5	+1	21
5	Ath Madrid	12	5	4	3	+8	19
6	Villarreal	12	4	6	2	+6	18
7	Alaves	12	5	3	4	+1	18
8	Espanol	11	4	3	4	-4	15
9	Eibar	12	3	4	5	-1	13
10	Valencia	13	3	3	7	-4	12
11	Leganes	13	3	2	8	-14	11
12	Celta	12	2	4	6	-6	10
13	Betis	11	3	0	8	-12	9
14	Ath Bilbao	11	2	2	7	-9	8
15	Malaga	13	0	6	7	-13	6
16	Sp Gijon	13	1	3	9	-15	6
17	Osasuna	12	1	3	8	-17	6
18	Las Palmas	11	1	2	8	-13	5
19	La Coruna	13	0	5	8	-17	5
20	Granada	13	0	3	10	-30	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.