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La Liga

Referee: Daniel Ocon Arraiz

Villarreal

T S S S T

2–3

Full-time

Eibar

S U T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Villarreal Eibar

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,5

3,0

Scored

1,7

1,3

Conceded

0,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,3

This season — La Liga · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 43%

46%

39%

Points per game

1,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

32%

57%

Both score Ø 50%

39%

61%

Average goals

2,1

3,0

Scored

1,4

1,6

Conceded

0,7

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,2

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

60% Possession 40%

15 Shots 14

7 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

11 Corners 5

3 Offside 0

9 Free kicks against 10

4 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Villarreal 5. · Eibar 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	27	20	5	2	+43	65
2	Barcelona	28	19	6	3	+56	63
3	Sevilla	28	17	6	5	+18	57
4	Ath Madrid	28	16	7	5	+29	55
5	Villarreal	28	13	9	6	+19	48
6	Sociedad	28	15	3	10	+3	48
7	Ath Bilbao	28	13	5	10	+3	44
8	Espanol	29	11	10	8	+2	43
9	Eibar	28	11	8	9	+5	41
10	Alaves	28	10	10	8	-4	40
11	Celta	27	11	5	11	-5	38
12	Las Palmas	28	9	8	11	-1	35
13	Betis	29	8	7	14	-14	31
14	Valencia	28	8	6	14	-13	30
15	Malaga	28	6	9	13	-12	27
16	La Coruna	28	6	9	13	-12	27
17	Leganes	28	6	8	14	-19	26
18	Sp Gijon	28	5	6	17	-26	21
19	Granada	28	4	7	17	-33	19
20	Osasuna	28	1	8	19	-39	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	14	11	3	0	+22	36
2	Barcelona	14	10	3	1	+32	33
3	Ath Bilbao	15	10	3	2	+11	33
4	Ath Madrid	14	10	2	2	+20	32
5	Sevilla	13	10	2	1	+13	32
6	Las Palmas	15	8	5	2	+13	29
7	Villarreal	14	8	3	3	+13	27
8	Eibar	15	8	3	4	+6	27
9	Espanol	15	7	5	3	+8	26
10	Celta	13	8	1	4	+5	25
11	Sociedad	14	7	3	4	+2	24
12	Betis	15	5	6	4	+0	21
13	Malaga	13	6	2	5	+2	20
14	La Coruna	14	5	4	5	+4	19
15	Alaves	14	4	7	3	-5	19
16	Valencia	13	5	3	5	-4	18
17	Granada	13	4	4	5	+0	16
18	Leganes	14	3	5	6	-5	14
19	Sp Gijon	14	4	2	8	-11	14
20	Osasuna	14	0	5	9	-17	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	14	9	3	2	+24	30
2	Real Madrid	13	9	2	2	+21	29
3	Sevilla	15	7	4	4	+5	25
4	Sociedad	14	8	0	6	+1	24
5	Ath Madrid	14	6	5	3	+9	23
6	Villarreal	14	5	6	3	+6	21
7	Alaves	14	6	3	5	+1	21
8	Espanol	14	4	5	5	-6	17
9	Eibar	13	3	5	5	-1	14
10	Celta	14	3	4	7	-10	13
11	Valencia	15	3	3	9	-9	12
12	Leganes	14	3	3	8	-14	12
13	Ath Bilbao	13	3	2	8	-8	11
14	Betis	14	3	1	10	-14	10
15	La Coruna	14	1	5	8	-16	8
16	Malaga	15	0	7	8	-14	7
17	Sp Gijon	14	1	4	9	-15	7
18	Las Palmas	13	1	3	9	-14	6
19	Osasuna	14	1	3	10	-22	6
20	Granada	15	0	3	12	-33	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.