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La Liga
Referee: Mario Melero Lopez
Sp Gijon
U T T T U
1–1
Full-time
Espanol
S T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Gijon Espanol
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,0
1,7
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
1,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
This season — La Liga · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 27%
15%
39%
Points per game
0,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
67%
45%
Both score Ø 59%
70%
48%
Average goals
3,1
2,6
Scored
1,1
1,3
Conceded
2,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,9
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

52% Possession 48%
16 Shots 14
6 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
7 Corners 2
0 Offside 3
9 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sp Gijon 18. · Espanol 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 33 23 6 4 +62 75
2 Real Madrid 32 23 6 3 +48 75
3 Ath Madrid 33 20 8 5 +36 68
4 Sevilla 33 19 8 6 +19 65
5 Villarreal 33 16 9 8 +21 57
6 Ath Bilbao 33 17 5 11 +9 56
7 Sociedad 33 17 4 12 +4 55
8 Eibar 33 14 8 11 +7 50
9 Espanol 33 13 10 10 +1 49
10 Celta 32 13 5 14 -4 44
11 Alaves 33 11 11 11 -8 44
12 Valencia 33 11 7 15 -9 40
13 Las Palmas 33 10 9 14 -6 39
14 Betis 33 10 7 16 -15 37
15 Malaga 33 9 9 15 -11 36
16 La Coruna 33 7 10 16 -16 31
17 Leganes 33 6 9 18 -24 27
18 Sp Gijon 33 5 8 20 -30 23
19 Granada 33 4 8 21 -43 20
20 Osasuna 33 3 9 21 -41 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sp Gijon Espanol
15′
🟨 Javi Fuego
Víctor Rodríguez 🟨
18′
1–0 Víctor Rodríguez
39′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Léo Baptistão
↦ F. Caicedo
55′
Gerard Moreno 1–1
Léo Baptistão
Carlos Castro 🔁
↦ Nacho Cases
68′
Carlos Carmona 🔁
↦ Víctor Rodríguez
72′
76′
🔁 Óscar Melendo
↦ P. Piatti
Isma López 🔁
↦ Canella
78′
83′
🟨 Víctor Sánchez
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Sp Gijon

4-1-4-1
1 Pichu Cuéllar G
15 Canella D
3 J. Babin D
2 Douglas Pereira D
4 Jorge Meré D
10 Nacho Cases M
6 Sergio Álvarez M
7 Víctor Rodríguez M
22 Mikel Vesga M
24 D. Čop F
14 Burgui M
Bench (7)
9 Carlos Castro
19 Carlos Carmona
18 Isma López
5 F. Amorebieta
13 Diego Mariño
21 Xavi Torres
26 Pablo Fernández

Coach: Rubí

Espanol

4-4-2
13 Diego López G
23 D. Reyes D
12 Aarón Martín D
31 Marc Navarro D
14 José Jurado M
18 Javi Fuego M
4 Víctor Sánchez M
15 David López D
10 F. Caicedo F
19 P. Piatti M
7 Gerard Moreno F
Bench (7)
11 Léo Baptistão
30 Óscar Melendo
1 Roberto Jiménez
3 Rubén Duarte
9 José Antonio Reyes
20 P. Diop
28 Marc Roca

Coach: Quique Sánchez Flores

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Mario Melero Lopez · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.