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La Liga
Referee: Jose Luis Gonzalez Gonzalez
Sevilla
S U S S T
1–1
Full-time
Sociedad
S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sevilla Sociedad
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,3
3,2
Scored
1,7
1,8
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,5
This season — La Liga · 35/35 matches
Win Ø 56%
57%
54%
Points per game
1,9
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
60%
51%
Both score Ø 56%
63%
49%
Average goals
3,0
2,9
Scored
1,8
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

51% Possession 49%
11 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
10 Corners 3
3 Offside 1
20 Free kicks against 10
4 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Sevilla 4. · Sociedad 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 35 25 6 4 +71 81
2 Real Madrid 34 25 6 3 +53 81
3 Ath Madrid 35 21 8 6 +40 71
4 Sevilla 35 20 8 7 +18 68
5 Villarreal 35 18 9 8 +24 63
6 Ath Bilbao 35 19 5 11 +13 62
7 Sociedad 35 19 4 12 +6 61
8 Eibar 35 15 9 11 +9 54
9 Espanol 35 13 11 11 -2 50
10 Alaves 35 12 12 11 -5 48
11 Celta 34 13 5 16 -8 44
12 Malaga 35 11 9 15 -7 42
13 Valencia 35 11 7 17 -11 40
14 Las Palmas 35 10 9 16 -14 39
15 Betis 35 10 7 18 -19 37
16 La Coruna 35 7 11 17 -20 32
17 Leganes 35 7 9 19 -23 30
18 Sp Gijon 35 5 9 21 -32 24
19 Granada 35 4 8 23 -46 20
20 Osasuna 35 3 10 22 -47 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sevilla Sociedad
Clément Lenglet 🟨
4′
1–0 Pablo Sarabia
41′
42′
🟨 Asier Illarramendi
Franco Vázquez 🟨
44′
Half-time 1–0
Gabriel Mercado 🟨
58′
61′
🔁 Canales
↦ Mikel Oyarzabal
61′
C. Vela 1–1
67′
🟨 Sergio Canales
Pablo Sarabia 🟨
68′
Ganso 🔁
↦ F. Vázquez
68′
71′
🟨 Iñigo Martínez
74′
🟨 David Zurutuza
79′
🟨 David Zurutuza
79′
🟥 David Zurutuza
Iborra 🔁
↦ S. Nasri
81′
S. Jovetić 🔁
↦ Vitolo
81′
81′
🔁 Igor Zubeldía
↦ C. Vela
89′
🔁 Granero
↦ Juanmi
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Sevilla

4-2-3-1
1 Sergio Rico G
23 A. Rami D
24 G. Mercado D
18 Sergio Escudero D
5 C. Lenglet D
10 S. Nasri M
15 S. N'Zonzi M
17 Pablo Sarabia M
20 Vitolo M
22 F. Vázquez M
12 W. Ben Yedder F
Bench (7)
19 Ganso
8 Iborra
16 S. Jovetić
4 M. Kranevitter
7 M. Krohn-Dehli
13 David Soria
21 N. Pareja

Coach: J. Sampaoli

Sociedad

4-2-3-1
1 G. Rulli G
19 Yuri D
22 Raúl Navas D
6 Íñigo Martínez D
10 Xabi Prieto M
4 Illarramendi M
17 Zurutuza M
11 C. Vela F
7 Juanmi F
29 Álvaro Odriozola D
18 Mikel Oyarzabal M
Bench (6)
16 Canales
27 Igor Zubeldía
8 Granero
3 Mikel González
25 Toño
26 Jon Bautista

Coach: Eusebio Sacristán

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jose Luis Gonzalez Gonzalez · 83 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.