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La Liga
Referee: Daniel Ocon Arraiz
Sociedad
T U T S T
1–0
Full-time
La Coruna
T T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sociedad La Coruna
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,5
This season — La Liga · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 36%
50%
22%
Points per game
1,6
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
50%
47%
Both score Ø 52%
47%
56%
Average goals
2,9
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,1
Conceded
1,4
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

55% Possession 45%
17 Shots 5
3 Shots on target 1
6 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
11 Corners 1
3 Offside 3
16 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sociedad 7. · La Coruna 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 31 23 6 2 +49 75
2 Barcelona 32 22 6 4 +61 72
3 Ath Madrid 33 20 8 5 +36 68
4 Sevilla 33 19 8 6 +19 65
5 Villarreal 33 16 9 8 +21 57
6 Ath Bilbao 32 16 5 11 +8 53
7 Sociedad 32 16 4 12 +3 52
8 Eibar 32 14 8 10 +8 50
9 Espanol 33 13 10 10 +1 49
10 Celta 31 13 5 13 -3 44
11 Alaves 32 11 10 11 -8 43
12 Valencia 33 11 7 15 -9 40
13 Las Palmas 32 10 8 14 -6 38
14 Malaga 33 9 9 15 -11 36
15 Betis 32 9 7 16 -16 34
16 La Coruna 32 7 10 15 -15 31
17 Leganes 33 6 9 18 -24 27
18 Sp Gijon 33 5 8 20 -30 23
19 Granada 33 4 8 21 -43 20
20 Osasuna 33 3 9 21 -41 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sociedad La Coruna
1–0 Willian José
Yuri
28′
44′
🟨 Raúl Albentosa
Raúl Navas 🟨
45′
Half-time 1–0
50′
🟨 Fayçal Fajr
56′
🔁 O. John
↦ G. Kakuta
Juanmi 🔁
↦ Willian José
65′
70′
🟨 Álex Bergantiños
70′
🔁 Joselu
↦ E. Çolak
Canales 🔁
↦ C. Vela
73′
80′
🔁 Bruno Gama
↦ F. Fajr
Granero 🔁
↦ Mikel Oyarzabal
90′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Sociedad

4-3-3
1 G. Rulli G
19 Yuri D
22 Raúl Navas D
6 Íñigo Martínez D
20 Joseba Zaldúa D
10 Xabi Prieto M
4 Illarramendi M
17 Zurutuza M
11 C. Vela F
12 Willian José F
18 Mikel Oyarzabal M
Bench (7)
7 Juanmi
16 Canales
8 Granero
15 Aritz Elustondo
25 Toño
26 Jon Bautista
29 Álvaro Odriozola

Coach: Eusebio Sacristán

La Coruna

4-2-3-1
1 G. Lux G
12 Sidnei D
16 Luisinho D
6 Albentosa D
22 C. Borges M
4 Álex Bergantiños M
19 F. Fajr M
8 E. Çolak M
2 Juanfran D
23 G. Kakuta M
10 F. Andone F
Bench (7)
24 O. John
7 Joselu
21 Bruno Gama
3 Fernando Navarro
13 P. Tytoń
15 Laure
30 Edu Expósito

Coach: Pepe Mel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Daniel Ocon Arraiz · 17 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.