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La Liga
Referee: Javier Estrada Fernandez
Ath Madrid
S S S S S
4–0
Full-time
Leganes
U T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Madrid Leganes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
83%
17%
Points per game
2,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,2
Scored
2,2
0,7
Conceded
0,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,7
-0,8
This season — La Liga · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 50%
68%
32%
Points per game
2,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
28%
40%
Both score Ø 30%
32%
28%
Average goals
2,1
2,0
Scored
1,6
0,8
Conceded
0,4
1,1
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

65% Possession 35%
15 Shots 9
8 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 1
3 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ath Madrid 2. · Leganes 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 25 20 5 0 +56 65
2 Ath Madrid 25 17 7 1 +30 58
3 Real Madrid 26 15 6 5 +34 51
4 Valencia 26 15 5 6 +20 50
5 Sevilla 26 13 3 10 -6 42
6 Villarreal 25 12 5 8 +7 41
7 Girona 26 10 7 9 +0 37
8 Getafe 26 9 9 8 +10 36
9 Betis 25 11 3 11 -7 36
10 Celta 26 10 5 11 +5 35
11 Eibar 25 10 5 10 -6 35
12 Ath Bilbao 26 7 11 8 -2 32
13 Espanol 26 7 10 9 -9 31
14 Leganes 25 8 6 11 -7 30
15 Sociedad 25 8 5 12 +0 29
16 Alaves 25 9 1 15 -15 28
17 Levante 25 3 11 11 -19 20
18 Las Palmas 25 5 4 16 -34 19
19 La Coruna 26 4 6 16 -32 18
20 Malaga 26 3 4 19 -25 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ath Madrid Leganes
1–0 A. Griezmann
Koke
26′
2–0 A. Griezmann
35′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 N. Amrabat
↦ Diego Rico
46′
🔁 Mozo
↦ Gabriel
53′
🟨 Gerard Gumbau
56′
🔁 José Naranjo
↦ Eraso
3–0 A. Griezmann
Filipe Luis
56′
Vitolo 🔁
↦ T. Partey
60′
4–0 A. Griezmann
Diego Costa
67′
Antoine Griezmann 🟨
69′
Fernando Torres 🔁
↦ Diego Costa
73′
K. Gameiro 🔁
↦ A. Griezmann
73′
82′
🟨 Omar Ramos
86′
🟨 Unai Bustinza
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Ath Madrid

4-4-2
13 J. Oblak G
20 Juanfran D
3 Filipe Luis D
2 D. Godín D
24 J. Giménez D
8 Saúl M
6 Koke M
5 T. Partey M
18 Diego Costa F
7 A. Griezmann F
11 Á. Correa M
Bench (7)
23 Vitolo
9 Fernando Torres
21 K. Gameiro
14 Gabi
16 Š. Vrsaljko
25 A. Werner
46 Antonio Montoro

Coach: D. Simeone

Leganes

4-4-2
1 Pichu Cuéllar G
19 E. Muñoz D
5 M. Mantovani D
3 Bustinza D
14 Raúl García D
15 Diego Rico D
23 Omar Ramos M
17 Eraso M
8 Gabriel M
6 Gerard Gumbau M
9 Guerrero F
Bench (7)
7 N. Amrabat
28 Mozo
18 José Naranjo
27 Gabri Salazar
13 N. Champagne
16 M. Dos Santos
20 Joseba Zaldúa

Coach: Asier Garitano

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Javier Estrada Fernandez · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.