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La Liga

Referee: Jesus Gil Manzano

Ath Bilbao

U T U T S

1–1

Full-time

Valencia

T T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Bilbao Valencia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,2

3,2

Scored

0,8

1,5

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,2

This season — La Liga · 25/25 matches

Win Ø 44%

28%

60%

Points per game

1,2

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

32%

68%

Both score Ø 54%

44%

64%

Average goals

2,2

3,1

Scored

1,0

2,0

Conceded

1,1

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,8

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

48% Possession 52%

11 Shots 6

4 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 1

5 Offside 6

16 Free kicks against 16

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ath Bilbao 12. · Valencia 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	25	20	5	0	+56	65
2	Ath Madrid	25	17	7	1	+30	58
3	Real Madrid	26	15	6	5	+34	51
4	Valencia	25	15	4	6	+20	49
5	Villarreal	25	12	5	8	+7	41
6	Sevilla	25	12	3	10	-7	39
7	Girona	26	10	7	9	+0	37
8	Betis	25	11	3	11	-7	36
9	Celta	26	10	5	11	+5	35
10	Eibar	25	10	5	10	-6	35
11	Getafe	25	8	9	8	+7	33
12	Ath Bilbao	25	7	10	8	-2	31
13	Espanol	26	7	10	9	-9	31
14	Leganes	25	8	6	11	-7	30
15	Sociedad	25	8	5	12	+0	29
16	Alaves	25	9	1	15	-15	28
17	Levante	25	3	11	11	-19	20
18	Las Palmas	25	5	4	16	-34	19
19	La Coruna	25	4	6	15	-29	18
20	Malaga	25	3	4	18	-24	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	12	10	2	0	+31	32
2	Valencia	13	9	2	2	+15	29
3	Ath Madrid	12	8	4	0	+13	28
4	Real Madrid	13	8	2	3	+22	26
5	Getafe	13	7	3	3	+12	24
6	Sevilla	12	7	3	2	+6	24
7	Villarreal	12	7	2	3	+11	23
8	Girona	13	7	2	4	+9	23
9	Espanol	14	6	4	4	+1	22
10	Eibar	13	6	3	4	+8	21
11	Betis	13	6	2	5	-3	20
12	Celta	12	5	4	3	+4	19
13	Alaves	13	6	1	6	-3	19
14	Sociedad	13	5	3	5	+7	18
15	Ath Bilbao	12	4	6	2	+3	18
16	Leganes	12	5	3	4	-1	18
17	Las Palmas	12	4	1	7	-11	13
18	La Coruna	13	3	3	7	-8	12
19	Levante	13	2	5	6	-8	11
20	Malaga	12	2	3	7	-8	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	13	10	3	0	+25	33
2	Ath Madrid	13	9	3	1	+17	30
3	Real Madrid	13	7	4	2	+12	25
4	Valencia	12	6	2	4	+5	20
5	Villarreal	13	5	3	5	-4	18
6	Celta	14	5	1	8	+1	16
7	Betis	12	5	1	6	-4	16
8	Sevilla	13	5	0	8	-13	15
9	Girona	13	3	5	5	-9	14
10	Eibar	12	4	2	6	-14	14
11	Ath Bilbao	13	3	4	6	-5	13
12	Leganes	13	3	3	7	-6	12
13	Sociedad	12	3	2	7	-7	11
14	Getafe	12	1	6	5	-5	9
15	Espanol	12	1	6	5	-10	9
16	Levante	12	1	6	5	-11	9
17	Alaves	12	3	0	9	-12	9
18	La Coruna	12	1	3	8	-21	6
19	Las Palmas	13	1	3	9	-23	6
20	Malaga	13	1	1	11	-16	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.