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La Liga

Referee: Mario Melero Lopez

Eibar

U S S T T

1–0

Full-time

Villarreal

S T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eibar Villarreal

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,5

3,0

Scored

1,3

1,7

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,3

This season — La Liga · 25/25 matches

Win Ø 44%

40%

48%

Points per game

1,4

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

56%

52%

Both score Ø 46%

44%

48%

Average goals

2,8

2,6

Scored

1,3

1,4

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

49% Possession 51%

14 Shots 11

1 Shots on target 3

8 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 0

6 Corners 4

7 Offside 4

18 Free kicks against 8

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Eibar 11. · Villarreal 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	25	20	5	0	+56	65
2	Ath Madrid	25	17	7	1	+30	58
3	Real Madrid	26	15	6	5	+34	51
4	Valencia	26	15	5	6	+20	50
5	Sevilla	26	13	3	10	-6	42
6	Villarreal	25	12	5	8	+7	41
7	Girona	26	10	7	9	+0	37
8	Getafe	26	9	9	8	+10	36
9	Betis	25	11	3	11	-7	36
10	Celta	26	10	5	11	+5	35
11	Eibar	25	10	5	10	-6	35
12	Ath Bilbao	26	7	11	8	-2	32
13	Espanol	26	7	10	9	-9	31
14	Leganes	25	8	6	11	-7	30
15	Sociedad	25	8	5	12	+0	29
16	Alaves	25	9	1	15	-15	28
17	Levante	25	3	11	11	-19	20
18	Las Palmas	25	5	4	16	-34	19
19	La Coruna	26	4	6	16	-32	18
20	Malaga	26	3	4	19	-25	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	12	10	2	0	+31	32
2	Valencia	13	9	2	2	+15	29
3	Ath Madrid	12	8	4	0	+13	28
4	Getafe	14	8	3	3	+15	27
5	Real Madrid	13	8	2	3	+22	26
6	Sevilla	12	7	3	2	+6	24
7	Villarreal	12	7	2	3	+11	23
8	Girona	13	7	2	4	+9	23
9	Espanol	14	6	4	4	+1	22
10	Eibar	13	6	3	4	+8	21
11	Betis	13	6	2	5	-3	20
12	Celta	12	5	4	3	+4	19
13	Ath Bilbao	13	4	7	2	+3	19
14	Alaves	13	6	1	6	-3	19
15	Sociedad	13	5	3	5	+7	18
16	Leganes	12	5	3	4	-1	18
17	Las Palmas	12	4	1	7	-11	13
18	La Coruna	13	3	3	7	-8	12
19	Levante	13	2	5	6	-8	11
20	Malaga	13	2	3	8	-9	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	13	10	3	0	+25	33
2	Ath Madrid	13	9	3	1	+17	30
3	Real Madrid	13	7	4	2	+12	25
4	Valencia	13	6	3	4	+5	21
5	Villarreal	13	5	3	5	-4	18
6	Sevilla	14	6	0	8	-12	18
7	Celta	14	5	1	8	+1	16
8	Betis	12	5	1	6	-4	16
9	Girona	13	3	5	5	-9	14
10	Eibar	12	4	2	6	-14	14
11	Ath Bilbao	13	3	4	6	-5	13
12	Leganes	13	3	3	7	-6	12
13	Sociedad	12	3	2	7	-7	11
14	Getafe	12	1	6	5	-5	9
15	Espanol	12	1	6	5	-10	9
16	Levante	12	1	6	5	-11	9
17	Alaves	12	3	0	9	-12	9
18	Las Palmas	13	1	3	9	-23	6
19	La Coruna	13	1	3	9	-24	6
20	Malaga	13	1	1	11	-16	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.