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La Liga
Referee: Pablo Gonzales Fuertes
Espanol
U T T T S
1–1
Full-time
Las Palmas
T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Espanol Las Palmas
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,7
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 17%
0%
33%
Average goals
1,3
2,3
Scored
0,3
0,3
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-1,7
This season — La Liga · 34/34 matches
Win Ø 21%
26%
15%
Points per game
1,1
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
29%
53%
Both score Ø 38%
38%
38%
Average goals
2,0
2,7
Scored
0,8
0,6
Conceded
1,2
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-1,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

53% Possession 47%
16 Shots 13
7 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 8
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
6 Corners 7
2 Offside 1
18 Free kicks against 22
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Espanol 17. · Las Palmas 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 33 25 8 0 +64 83
2 Ath Madrid 34 21 9 4 +36 72
3 Real Madrid 33 20 8 5 +44 68
4 Valencia 34 20 6 8 +26 66
5 Betis 34 17 5 12 +1 56
6 Villarreal 33 15 6 12 +5 51
7 Getafe 34 13 9 12 +8 48
8 Sevilla 34 14 6 14 -12 48
9 Girona 34 13 8 13 -6 47
10 Celta 34 12 9 13 +6 45
11 Sociedad 34 12 7 15 +6 43
12 Eibar 34 12 7 15 -10 43
13 Alaves 34 13 2 19 -13 41
14 Ath Bilbao 34 9 13 12 -5 40
15 Leganes 34 11 7 16 -13 40
16 Levante 35 9 13 13 -16 40
17 Espanol 34 9 12 13 -12 39
18 La Coruna 34 6 10 18 -33 28
19 Las Palmas 34 5 6 23 -47 21
20 Malaga 34 5 5 24 -29 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Espanol Las Palmas
Víctor Sánchez 🟨
22′
Didac Vila 🟨
25′
27′
🟨 Jonathan Calleri
29′
J. Calleri 0–1
35′
🟨 Oghenekaro Etebo
Half-time 0–1
Marc Roca 🔁
↦ Víctor Sánchez
58′
Léo Baptistão 🔁
↦ Granero
67′
69′
🔁 Jairo Samperio
↦ I. Ezekiel
74′
🔁 M. Aguirregaray
↦ Míchel
1–1 Gerard Moreno
Sergio García
76′
79′
🟨 Vicente Gómez
79′
🔁 Tana
↦ A. Aquilani
José Jurado 🔁
↦ Óscar Melendo
80′
90′
🟨 Dani Castellano
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Espanol

4-4-2
1 Pau López G
12 Dídac Vilá D
16 Javi López D
22 Mario Hermoso D
23 Granero M
4 Víctor Sánchez M
15 David López D
25 Sergi Darder M
14 Óscar Melendo M
9 Sergio García F
7 Gerard Moreno F
Bench (7)
21 Marc Roca
11 Léo Baptistão
10 José Jurado
3 Aarón Martín
24 Sergio Sánchez
26 Edu Frías
8 C. Sánchez

Coach: David Gallego

Las Palmas

4-1-4-1
13 L. Chichizola G
12 Míchel D
23 Dani Castellano D
20 Alejandro Gálvez D
22 Ximo Navarro D
25 A. Aquilani M
4 Vicente Gómez M
6 O. Etebo M
15 Nacho Gil M
14 I. Ezekiel M
9 J. Calleri F
Bench (7)
16 Jairo Samperio
3 M. Aguirregaray
24 Tana
8 A. Halilović
18 Javi Castellano
5 David García
1 Raúl Lizoáin

Coach: Paco Jémez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Pablo Gonzales Fuertes · 49 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.