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Bundesliga
Referee: Daniel Siebert
Wolfsburg
T U S U T
1–3
Full-time
Hamburg
T U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wolfsburg Hamburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
1,5
3,2
Scored
0,3
1,0
Conceded
1,2
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-1,2
This season — Bundesliga · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 18%
16%
19%
Points per game
1,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
42%
42%
Both score Ø 47%
55%
39%
Average goals
2,3
2,3
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

49% Possession 51%
10 Shots 14
1 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
2 Corners 6
3 Offside 2
19 Free kicks against 19
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Wolfsburg 14. · Hamburg 17. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 31 25 3 3 +62 78
2 Schalke 04 31 16 8 7 +14 56
3 Dortmund 31 15 9 7 +20 54
4 Hoffenheim 32 14 10 8 +18 52
5 Leverkusen 31 14 9 8 +14 51
6 RB Leipzig 31 13 8 10 +0 47
7 Ein Frankfurt 31 13 7 11 +1 46
8 M'gladbach 31 12 7 12 -6 43
9 Hertha 31 10 12 9 +3 42
10 Stuttgart 31 12 6 13 -6 42
11 Augsburg 31 10 10 11 +0 40
12 Werder Bremen 31 9 10 12 -4 37
13 Hannover 32 9 9 14 -11 36
14 Wolfsburg 31 5 15 11 -10 30
15 Mainz 31 7 9 15 -17 30
16 Freiburg 31 6 12 13 -25 30
17 Hamburg 31 6 7 18 -24 25
18 FC Koln 31 5 7 19 -29 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

9. Dec -17 Hamburg – Wolfsburg 0–0 20. May -17 Hamburg – Wolfsburg 2–1 21. Jan -17 Wolfsburg – Hamburg 1–0 7. May -16 Hamburg – Wolfsburg 0–1 12. Dec -15 Wolfsburg – Hamburg 1–1

Match report

Wolfsburg Hamburg
R. Bazoer 🔁
↦ M. Tisserand
12′
43′
⚽ B. Wood 0–1
Paul Verhaegh 🟨
44′
Half-time 0–2
46′
⚽ L. Holtby 0–2
T. Ito
J. Brekalo 🔁
↦ P. Verhaegh
46′
Robin Knoche 🟨
51′
67′
🟨 Julian Pollersbeck
68′
🔁 A. Ekdal
↦ A. Hunt
Y. Mallı 🔁
↦ J. Błaszczykowski
75′
77′
🔁 L. Waldschmidt
↦ B. Wood
1–2 J. Brekalo ⚽
78′
Josip Brekalo 🟨
84′
85′
🔁 B. Jatta
↦ T. Ito
88′
🟨 Kyriakos Papadopoulos
93′
⚽ L. Waldschmidt 1–3
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Wolfsburg

4-2-3-1
1 K. Casteels G
3 P. Verhaegh D
31 R. Knoche D
29 M. Tisserand D
17 F. Uduokhai D
2 William D
16 J. Błaszczykowski M
23 J. Guilavogui M
27 M. Arnold M
8 R. Steffen M
14 D. Origi F
Bench (7)
6 R. Bazoer
21 J. Brekalo
10 Y. Mallı
9 L. Dimata
11 D. Didavi
20 M. Grün
25 J. Brooks

Coach: B. Labbadia

Hamburg

4-1-4-1
13 J. Pollersbeck G
9 K. Papadopoulos D
24 G. Sakai D
6 Douglas Santos D
28 G. Jung M
14 A. Hunt M
8 L. Holtby M
17 F. Kostić M
29 M. Steinmann M
43 T. Ito M
7 B. Wood F
Bench (7)
20 A. Ekdal
15 L. Waldschmidt
18 B. Jatta
1 C. Mathenia
2 D. Diekmeier
4 R. van Drongelen
23 S. Salihović

Coach: C. Titz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Daniel Siebert · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.