La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Sociedad
Celta
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Sevilla
|
13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | +11 | 26 |
| 2 |
Barcelona
|
13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | +16 | 25 |
| 3 |
Ath Madrid
|
13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | +8 | 24 |
| 4 |
Alaves
|
13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | +4 | 23 |
| 5 |
Espanol
|
13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +4 | 21 |
| 6 |
Real Madrid
|
13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | +1 | 20 |
| 7 |
Girona
|
13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | +1 | 20 |
| 8 |
Levante
|
13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | -1 | 18 |
| 9 |
Eibar
|
13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 18 |
| 10 |
Valencia
|
13 | 3 | 8 | 2 | +2 | 17 |
| 11 |
Getafe
|
13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 17 |
| 12 |
Valladolid
|
13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | -1 | 17 |
| 13 |
Sociedad
|
12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | +1 | 16 |
| 14 |
Betis
|
13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | -4 | 16 |
| 15 |
Celta
|
12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | +2 | 14 |
| 16 |
Villarreal
|
13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -1 | 14 |
| 17 |
Leganes
|
13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -6 | 13 |
| 18 |
Ath Bilbao
|
13 | 1 | 8 | 4 | -6 | 11 |
| 19 |
Vallecano
|
13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | -14 | 7 |
| 20 |
Huesca
|
13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | -15 | 7 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Diego Llorente
D
Igor Zubeldía
M
Mikel Oyarzabal
M
Coach: Asier Garitano
David Costas
D
Iago Aspas
F
E. Mor
F
Coach: Miguel Cardoso
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Levante
Sociedad
Sociedad
Sevilla
Ath Madrid
Sociedad
Sociedad
Girona
Ath Bilbao
Sociedad
Mario Melero Lopez · 86 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.