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La Liga

Referee: Antonio Mateu

Ath Madrid

S S U S U

2–0

Full-time

Sociedad

S U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Madrid Sociedad

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

1,7

2,2

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

0,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,2

This season — La Liga · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 39%

44%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 39%

11%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

1,7

2,6

Scored

1,1

1,3

Conceded

0,6

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,6

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

61% Possession 39%

14 Shots 7

4 Shots on target 0

3 Blocked shots 2

0 Goalkeeper saves 2

10 Corners 1

3 Offside 0

10 Free kicks against 7

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ath Madrid 5. · Sociedad 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	9	5	3	1	+12	18
2	Espanol	10	5	3	2	+6	18
3	Alaves	9	5	2	2	+4	17
4	Sevilla	9	5	1	3	+8	16
5	Ath Madrid	9	4	4	1	+5	16
6	Valladolid	10	4	4	2	+2	16
7	Levante	10	5	1	4	+1	16
8	Real Madrid	9	4	2	3	+4	14
9	Celta	10	3	4	3	+4	13
10	Girona	10	3	4	3	-2	13
11	Sociedad	9	3	3	3	+1	12
12	Getafe	9	3	3	3	+0	12
13	Betis	9	3	3	3	-2	12
14	Valencia	10	1	8	1	-1	11
15	Eibar	10	3	2	5	-7	11
16	Ath Bilbao	10	1	7	2	-4	10
17	Villarreal	9	2	3	4	-1	9
18	Leganes	10	2	2	6	-7	8
19	Vallecano	10	1	3	6	-10	6
20	Huesca	9	1	2	6	-13	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Espanol	4	4	0	0	+6	12
2	Barcelona	5	3	2	0	+11	11
3	Real Madrid	5	3	1	1	+5	10
4	Ath Madrid	4	3	1	0	+5	10
5	Celta	6	2	3	1	+5	9
6	Alaves	4	2	2	0	+2	8
7	Sevilla	4	2	1	1	+2	7
8	Leganes	4	2	1	1	+1	7
9	Valladolid	5	2	1	2	+0	7
10	Eibar	5	2	1	2	-1	7
11	Levante	5	2	1	2	-2	7
12	Betis	5	2	1	2	-2	7
13	Girona	6	2	1	3	-3	7
14	Ath Bilbao	6	1	3	2	-4	6
15	Valencia	5	0	5	0	+0	5
16	Getafe	4	1	1	2	-1	4
17	Sociedad	4	0	2	2	-2	2
18	Villarreal	5	0	2	3	-3	2
19	Vallecano	5	0	2	3	-8	2
20	Huesca	4	0	1	3	-4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sociedad	5	3	1	1	+3	10
2	Sevilla	5	3	0	2	+6	9
3	Levante	5	3	0	2	+3	9
4	Alaves	5	3	0	2	+2	9
5	Valladolid	5	2	3	0	+2	9
6	Getafe	5	2	2	1	+1	8
7	Villarreal	4	2	1	1	+2	7
8	Barcelona	4	2	1	1	+1	7
9	Girona	4	1	3	0	+1	6
10	Espanol	6	1	3	2	+0	6
11	Ath Madrid	5	1	3	1	+0	6
12	Valencia	5	1	3	1	-1	6
13	Betis	4	1	2	1	+0	5
14	Ath Bilbao	4	0	4	0	+0	4
15	Celta	4	1	1	2	-1	4
16	Real Madrid	4	1	1	2	-1	4
17	Vallecano	5	1	1	3	-2	4
18	Eibar	5	1	1	3	-6	4
19	Huesca	5	1	1	3	-9	4
20	Leganes	6	0	1	5	-8	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.