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La Liga
Referee: Carlos Del Cerro Grande
Sociedad
T S S T S
1–0
Full-time
Celta
U T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sociedad Celta
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,5
3,5
Scored
1,5
1,8
Conceded
2,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,2
This season — La Liga · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 50%
56%
44%
Points per game
1,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
50%
72%
Both score Ø 50%
44%
56%
Average goals
3,1
3,4
Scored
1,7
1,6
Conceded
1,4
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

59% Possession 41%
17 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 3
1 Offside 3
13 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sociedad 5. · Celta 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 18 13 4 1 +31 43
2 Sevilla 19 13 3 3 +17 42
3 Barcelona 18 11 5 2 +30 38
4 Ath Madrid 19 10 5 4 +18 35
5 Sociedad 18 10 2 6 +5 32
6 Villarreal 19 8 7 4 +12 31
7 Ath Bilbao 19 8 5 6 +3 29
8 Celta 18 8 3 7 -3 27
9 Eibar 18 7 5 6 +1 26
10 Espanol 19 6 8 5 -1 26
11 Las Palmas 19 6 7 6 -2 25
12 Alaves 19 5 8 6 -3 23
13 Malaga 19 5 6 8 -6 21
14 Betis 18 6 3 9 -10 21
15 Valencia 18 5 4 9 -5 19
16 La Coruna 19 4 7 8 -5 19
17 Leganes 19 4 6 9 -16 18
18 Sp Gijon 18 3 3 12 -18 12
19 Granada 19 1 7 11 -26 10
20 Osasuna 19 1 6 12 -22 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sociedad Celta
28′
🟨 Carles Planas
Half-time 0–0
Mikel Oyarzabal 🔁
↦ Willian José
63′
Yuri Berchiche 🟨
66′
68′
🔁 N. Radoja
↦ Jozabed
Xabi Prieto 🔁
↦ C. Vela
71′
1–0 Juanmi
Canales
72′
73′
🔁 J. Guidetti
↦ Josep Señé
79′
🟨 Giuseppe Rossi
Jon Gaztañaga 🔁
↦ Canales
80′
83′
🔁 Iago Aspas
↦ Pape Diop
Juanmi 🟨
86′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Sociedad

4-3-3
1 G. Rulli G
19 Yuri D
22 Raúl Navas D
6 Íñigo Martínez D
20 Joseba Zaldúa D
8 Granero M
16 Canales M
17 Zurutuza M
11 C. Vela F
12 Willian José F
7 Juanmi F
Bench (7)
18 Mikel Oyarzabal
10 Xabi Prieto
23 Jon Gaztañaga
15 Aritz Elustondo
24 David Concha
25 Toño
29 Álvaro Odriozola

Coach: Eusebio Sacristán

Celta

4-3-3
1 Sergio Álvarez G
24 F. Roncaglia D
3 Fontàs D
21 Planas D
20 Sergi Gómez D
8 P. Hernández M
16 Jozabed M
23 Josep Señé M
11 P. Sisto M
28 Pape Diop M
25 G. Rossi F
Bench (7)
6 N. Radoja
9 J. Guidetti
10 Iago Aspas
7 T. Bongonda
15 Álvaro Lemos
22 G. Cabral
27 Iván Villar

Coach: E. Berizzo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Carlos Del Cerro Grande · 78 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.