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La Liga
Referee: Jose Luis Gonzalez Gonzalez
Espanol
T T T T T
1–0
Full-time
Leganes
S S U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Espanol Leganes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
83%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,2
1,8
Scored
0,5
1,2
Conceded
2,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
-2,2
+0,5
This season — La Liga · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 30%
35%
24%
Points per game
1,2
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
47%
29%
Both score Ø 50%
47%
53%
Average goals
2,5
2,1
Scored
1,1
0,9
Conceded
1,4
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

51% Possession 49%
12 Shots 10
1 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
3 Corners 6
0 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Espanol 14. · Leganes 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 17 11 4 2 +29 37
2 Ath Madrid 17 9 7 1 +13 34
3 Sevilla 17 9 5 3 +13 32
4 Real Madrid 17 9 3 5 +5 30
5 Alaves 17 8 4 5 +2 28
6 Betis 17 7 5 5 +1 26
7 Getafe 17 6 7 4 +5 25
8 Girona 18 5 8 5 -2 23
9 Levante 18 6 5 7 -4 23
10 Valencia 17 4 10 3 +1 22
11 Celta 17 5 6 6 +2 21
12 Valladolid 17 5 6 6 -3 21
13 Eibar 17 5 6 6 -4 21
14 Espanol 17 6 3 8 -6 21
15 Sociedad 17 5 4 8 -2 19
16 Leganes 17 4 7 6 -4 19
17 Villarreal 17 3 7 7 -4 16
18 Ath Bilbao 17 2 10 5 -8 16
19 Vallecano 17 3 4 10 -15 13
20 Huesca 17 1 5 11 -19 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Espanol Leganes
1–0 Borja Iglesias
9′
20′
🟨 Unai Bustinza
Didac Vila 🟨
35′
Half-time 1–0
P. Piatti 🔁
↦ Sergio García
55′
65′
🔁 Recio
↦ Mikel Vesga
67′
🟨 Recio
Marc Roca 🟨
68′
70′
🟨 Gerard Gumbau
70′
🔁 N. El Zhar
↦ Bustinza
72′
🟨 Kenneth Omeruo
Víctor Sánchez 🔁
↦ Óscar Melendo
79′
79′
🔁 Juanfran
↦ A. Nyom
H. Pérez 🔁
↦ Léo Baptistão
88′
90′
🟨 Gerard Gumbau
90′
🟥 Gerard Gumbau
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Espanol

4-2-3-1
13 Diego López G
8 R. Rosales D
6 Ó. Duarte D
12 Dídac Vilá D
15 David López D
10 Sergi Darder M
21 Marc Roca M
14 Óscar Melendo M
9 Sergio García F
11 Léo Baptistão F
7 Borja Iglesias F
Bench (7)
19 P. Piatti
4 Víctor Sánchez
17 H. Pérez
1 Roberto Jiménez
5 Naldo
20 Javi Puado
28 Adrià Pedrosa

Coach: Rubí

Leganes

5-3-2
1 Pichu Cuéllar G
22 D. Siovas D
12 A. Nyom D
24 K. Omeruo D
5 J. Silva D
3 Bustinza D
6 Gerard Gumbau M
23 Mikel Vesga M
27 Óscar Rodríguez M
9 G. Carrillo F
26 Y. En-Nesyri F
Bench (7)
8 Recio
10 N. El Zhar
2 Juanfran
17 Eraso
18 Sabin Merino
15 Rodri Tarín
29 A. Lunin

Coach: M. Pellegrino

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Jose Luis Gonzalez Gonzalez · 83 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.