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La Liga
Referee: Carlos Del Cerro Grande
Espanol
U S T T T
0–4
Full-time
Barcelona
S S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Espanol Barcelona
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,5
4,7
Scored
1,0
3,0
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,3
This season — La Liga · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 50%
43%
57%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
43%
64%
Both score Ø 65%
50%
79%
Average goals
2,4
4,0
Scored
1,2
2,6
Conceded
1,1
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

44% Possession 56%
15 Shots 17
3 Shots on target 9
2 Blocked shots 6
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
11 Corners 4
3 Offside 4
16 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Espanol 9. · Barcelona 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 14 8 4 2 +18 28
2 Sevilla 15 8 4 3 +11 28
3 Ath Madrid 15 7 7 1 +11 28
4 Alaves 15 7 3 5 +1 24
5 Real Madrid 14 7 2 5 +3 23
6 Getafe 15 5 6 4 +4 21
7 Levante 14 6 3 5 +2 21
8 Girona 14 5 6 3 +1 21
9 Espanol 14 6 3 5 +1 21
10 Celta 15 5 5 5 +4 20
11 Sociedad 14 5 4 5 +1 19
12 Betis 14 5 4 5 -3 19
13 Valencia 15 3 9 3 +0 18
14 Eibar 14 5 3 6 -4 18
15 Valladolid 14 4 5 5 -3 17
16 Leganes 15 4 5 6 -4 17
17 Villarreal 15 3 5 7 -4 14
18 Ath Bilbao 14 1 8 5 -9 11
19 Vallecano 14 2 4 8 -13 10
20 Huesca 14 1 4 9 -17 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Espanol Barcelona
17′
L. Messi 0–1
26′
O. Dembélé 0–2
L. Messi
45′
L. Suárez 0–3
O. Dembélé
Half-time 0–3
Léo Baptistão 🔁
↦ H. Pérez
59′
Sergio García 🔁
↦ Óscar Melendo
63′
65′
L. Messi 0–4
68′
🔁 Philippe Coutinho
↦ O. Dembélé
Granero 🔁
↦ Sergi Darder
74′
Didac Vila 🟨
79′
79′
🔁 Munir
↦ L. Suárez
82′
🔁 Denis Suárez
↦ I. Rakitić
Full-time 0–4

Line-ups

Espanol

4-4-1-1
13 Diego López G
6 Ó. Duarte D
12 Dídac Vilá D
16 Javi López D
15 David López D
4 Víctor Sánchez M
10 Sergi Darder M
21 Marc Roca M
14 Óscar Melendo M
17 H. Pérez M
7 Borja Iglesias F
Bench (7)
11 Léo Baptistão
9 Sergio García
23 Granero
1 Roberto Jiménez
5 Naldo
8 R. Rosales
19 P. Piatti

Coach: Rubí

Barcelona

4-3-3
1 M. ter Stegen G
3 Piqué D
18 Jordi Alba D
15 C. Lenglet D
2 Nélson Semedo D
4 I. Rakitić M
22 A. Vidal M
5 Sergio Busquets M
10 L. Messi F
9 L. Suárez F
11 O. Dembélé F
Bench (7)
7 Philippe Coutinho
19 Munir
6 Denis Suárez
13 J. Cillessen
21 Carles Aleñà
24 T. Vermaelen
27 Juan Miranda

Coach: Ernesto Valverde

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Carlos Del Cerro Grande · 78 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.