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La Liga
Referee: Pablo Gonzales Fuertes
Leganes
T U U S S
1–1
Full-time
Getafe
S U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leganes Getafe
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,2
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,8
This season — La Liga · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 33%
29%
36%
Points per game
1,1
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
36%
14%
Both score Ø 43%
50%
36%
Average goals
2,3
1,9
Scored
1,0
1,1
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

66% Possession 34%
17 Shots 6
5 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 2
2 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Leganes 16. · Getafe 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 14 8 4 2 +18 28
2 Sevilla 14 8 3 3 +11 27
3 Ath Madrid 14 6 7 1 +8 25
4 Alaves 14 7 3 4 +4 24
5 Real Madrid 14 7 2 5 +3 23
6 Levante 14 6 3 5 +2 21
7 Girona 14 5 6 3 +1 21
8 Espanol 14 6 3 5 +1 21
9 Getafe 14 5 5 4 +4 20
10 Sociedad 14 5 4 5 +1 19
11 Betis 14 5 4 5 -3 19
12 Eibar 14 5 3 6 -4 18
13 Celta 14 4 5 5 +3 17
14 Valencia 14 3 8 3 +0 17
15 Valladolid 14 4 5 5 -3 17
16 Leganes 14 4 4 6 -4 16
17 Villarreal 14 3 5 6 -3 14
18 Ath Bilbao 14 1 8 5 -9 11
19 Vallecano 14 2 4 8 -13 10
20 Huesca 14 1 4 9 -17 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Leganes Getafe
22′
🔁 Portillo
↦ A. Ndiaye
39′
L. Cabrera 0–1
D. Suárez
42′
🟨 Jaime Mata
Half-time 0–1
Allan Nyom 🟨
49′
1–1 A. Nyom
Y. En-Nesyri
64′
69′
🔁 S. Cristóforo
↦ M. Arambarri
75′
🟨 Djené
Juanfran 🔁
↦ A. Nyom
82′
N. El Zhar 🔁
↦ Óscar Rodríguez
85′
85′
🔁 Antunes
↦ Portillo
Rubén Pérez 🟥
90′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Leganes

3-4-1-2
1 Pichu Cuéllar G
22 D. Siovas D
12 A. Nyom D
24 K. Omeruo D
3 Bustinza D
21 Rubén Pérez M
6 Gerard Gumbau M
23 Mikel Vesga M
27 Óscar Rodríguez M
9 G. Carrillo F
26 Y. En-Nesyri F
Bench (7)
2 Juanfran
10 N. El Zhar
4 D. Rolan
7 Dani Ojeda
17 Eraso
18 Sabin Merino
29 A. Lunin

Coach: M. Pellegrino

Getafe

4-4-2
13 David Soria G
22 D. Suárez D
6 L. Cabrera D
4 Bruno González D
24 D. Foulquier D
2 D. Dakonam D
20 N. Maksimović M
18 M. Arambarri M
19 Jorge Molina F
7 Jaime Mata F
11 A. Ndiaye M
Bench (7)
8 Portillo
15 S. Cristóforo
3 Antunes
1 L. Chichizola
9 Ángel
10 G. Shibasaki
21 Miquel

Coach: José Bordalás

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Pablo Gonzales Fuertes · 49 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.